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IBA Insight

网络研讨会20Sep 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar, September 2023

Are you looking for comprehensive, accurate and up-to-date information on the aviation industry? Watch IBA’s award-winning team on Wednesday 20th September for a post-summer update on the state of the aviation market and the outlook going forwards. The Webinar Designed for all aviation industry players, our Market Update Webinar will share the latest data and identify key trends shaping the market. Click the button below to watch on demand. Watch on Demand

新闻与公共关系10Aug

China Airline Capacity Jumps to Almost Reach Pre-Pandemic Levels

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer reveals that passenger ASKs from Chinese operators were trending at 96% of 2019 levels in July 2023, a strong increase from 89% in June 2023. IBA’s leading aviation intelligence platform, IBA Insight, further shows that in July: Monthly global passenger capacity edges closer to a full recovery, reaching 97% of pre-pandemic ASKs in July 2023, a gain of +2% compared to June 2023. In July, operators from Africa, North America, Latin America and the Middle East surpassed pre-pandemic capacity, while operators in APAC and Europe continue to lag slightly behind. APAC operator capacity has now surpassed 90% of pre-pandemic levels, supported by a strong July within the Chinese market. Assessing the current trend, IBA expects global passenger ASKs to surpass 2019 levels by October 2023. In July 2023, there were approximately 04 million commercial passenger flights, compared to 2.82 million in June 2023, while 2.64 million flights were recorded in July 2022. Chinese operators recorded 451k commercial passenger flights in July 2023, compared to 388k in June 2023 and 296k in June 2022. There were 110 commercial aircraft deliveries in July 2023, representing a month-on-month and year-on-year variance of -24% and +34% So far during 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries have averaged 45 per month, compared to Boeing's 737 MAX at 35 per month. -ENDS- About IBA IBA delivers the best of all worlds - deep aviation consultancy expertise, and cutting-edge and actionable data insights, all delivered by a proven, expert team with a strong customer focus. An independent, innovative and forward-thinking business, IBA has over 35 years of heritage and experience in aviation. Having won the Sustainable Technology award for its IBA NetZero platform in 2023 and for its Carbon Emissions Calculator in 2022, and being named 'Appraiser of the Year' by their clients for five years, IBA prides itself on its integrity, fierce independence, and continual innovation. The key to IBA’s success is its people – some of the best in the industry, based in multiple locations across the globe – real experts who are passionate about aviation and go the extra mile for their clients. For more information, visit www.iba.aero IBA media contacts Charlie Hampton / Faye Clarke Email: [email protected] / [email protected] Mobile: +44 (0)7884 187297

IBA Acquires Fleetwatch to Enhance Insight Capabilities

新闻与公共关系01Aug

IBA推出App Fleetwatch，提升行业研究效率

作为行业领先的航空市场数据和情报公司，IBA于8月1日宣布正式收购Aeromanage公司旗下的Fleetwatch应用。 Fleetwatch通过使用ADS-B数据，为航空租赁方和金融圈提供与飞机飞行事件和状态变化相关的移动设备警报提醒服务。该应用程序让关键利益相关方能够更直观地了解飞机运营情况，让资产组合管理更积极主动，及时响应各种变化，成为用户风险纾解手段中的重要一环。伴随着IBA近期在其IBA Insight航空情报平台推出的数据和新闻警报功能，Fleetwatch的收购和整合进一步证明了IBA始终不渝地践行为客户提供增强行业洞察力的承诺，行业洞察力得到提升不仅能帮助客户管控风险，还能为其创造价值。 IBA总裁Phil Seymour表示：“我们很高兴通过收购Fleetwatch来增强我们的航空情报能力。该应用将成为我们一系列新闻和警报解决方案的重要组成部分，为租赁方、银行、投资者和保险公司等主要行业利益相关方提供一流的行业洞察力和并为他们实时更新下属机队的动态。” Fleetwatch将为IBA Insight平台的订阅用户提供一系列信息，通过每日通知，着重展示各类重要的飞机使用场景。机队/飞机区分用户将有条件查看其飞机与平均水平相比是否使用过度或利用率不高。用户还可以随时了解飞机的飞行长度和距离信息，并与同一运营商的同机型平均值进行比较。借助这个应用，用户有机会对随时变化的运营模式进行评估，并对诸如储备和补偿率等飞机维护影响因素是否需要调整进行研判，并帮助用户预测PBH（按小时收费）协议中的收入情况，并在出现飞机过度使用或利用不足的情况下获得相应提醒服务。停飞 Fleetwatch让租赁方、银行和投资者等各类用户有机会觉察其飞机是否处于长时间停飞状态，帮助他们与运营商取得联系，就相关问题发出质询。 Fleetwatch将在飞机停飞超过两天时提醒用户，让飞机所有者随时跟踪租赁机队动态，及早发现问题。禁飞目的地租赁方、银行、投资者和保险公司可以从Fleetwatch接收警报，以提示其飞机是否进入禁飞目的地，随时监控运营商是否遵守合同条款和各类制裁限制条约。 Aeromanage的高级经理和董事Ivan Borysenko表示：“Fleetwatch提供的洞察力将显著增强IBA的航空情报能力，将为IBA Insight平台用户实时更新飞机状态，确保问题早发现，早解决。”

IBA’s Latest Aircraft Intelligence Underlines Surging Orders and Recovering Values

新闻与公共关系26Jul

IBA发布最新飞机市场情报报告（AMIR） “飞机订单激增，市场价值回升”

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Global Airline Passenger Capacity to Surpass 2019 Levels in October, IBA Predicts

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer predicts that global passenger ASKs (available seat kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels by October 2023, having reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023.

IBA Enhances Insight Intelligence Platform with Alerting and News Functionality

新闻与公共关系06Jul

IBA为Insight情报平台注入新活力，增添提醒功能和新闻功能

行业领先的航空市场情报和咨询公司IBA为其IBA Insight平台发布了一系列升级功能，包括全新提醒功能，以及与Aviator共同打造的行业新闻功能。随着新功能的发布，IBA Insight订阅用户可以获取全球航空新闻，涉及航空业方方面面，其中不乏订单和交付情况，航空公司盈利、航线公告、初创企业、倒闭、融资和交易、ESG等相关新闻。 IBA同时将提醒功能引入IBA Insight平台，允许用户根据新闻和数据库变化(如订单、事件、状态和组织变化)创建并定制提醒。用户可以将提醒的时间间隔设置为每天，每周或每月，平台将向客户发送带有下载链接的电子邮件，其中包含与指定提醒相关的文章和数据。通过订单提醒功能，如果产生新的飞机订单，用户会立即收到相关信息。用户可以按照飞机系列、类型、型号或运营商筛选提醒内容。事件提醒可以帮助用户监控关于飞机类型或航空公司的重大事件。从交付、租赁开始和结束，再到损坏和飞机退役，提醒功能的涵盖范围十分全面。另外，用户现在还可以选择状态提醒。凭借状态提醒，用户能够及时了解他们感兴趣的飞机运行状态变化，诸如哪些资产已经从存储状态恢复到运营服务状态，哪些飞机已经从现役转为停放状态。以更广阔的视角来审视组织情况，用户现在可以根据飞机的组织变化创建提醒，可以得知飞机所有者、管理者或运营商的动态变化。凭借组织提醒，用户可以跟踪哪些飞机正在进行交易，以及所涉及的运营机构和金融机构。 IBA产品开发和数字化转型总监Nick Stafford表示: “我们一直在寻找新颖的方法，确保用户获得足够多的事件背景和参考数据，为他们做出有效决策提供帮助。现在，IBA Insight不仅能够让用户在平台上获得易执行的行业洞见资讯，还能通过每天更新的新闻和数据提醒主动提示您注意行业动向。” 请点击此处，获取更多关于IBA Insight和IBA NetZero的信息。 -完- 关于IBA IBA 提供世界顶尖的航空咨询专业分析，以及最前沿和易执行的数据洞见，所有这些分析和洞见都来源于一支以客户为中心且经验丰富的专家团队。作为一家独立、创新且富有前瞻性的企业，IBA 在航空领域拥有 35 余年的资历和经验。IBA连续五年被客户评为“年度评估机构”，最近又凭借碳排放计算器连续斩获“可持续技术大奖”。对于诚信、独立和持续创新的企业精神，IBA深以为荣。 IBA 的成功离不开每一位IBA人的全力投入——他们分布全球各地，是一支行业顶尖，实打实的专家团队，对航空业充满热情，并一直在加倍努力，以求为客户提供更好的服务。如需更多信息，请访问 www.iba.aero

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Paris Air Show round-up: $72.4bn total, with most firm orders ever

IBA Weekly Date: 23/06/2023 (issue 32) Whilst Paris Air Show is known to be quiet on the last two weekdays, no one quite expected the absence of significant business that would continue until late on Monday. This quiet was broken by a blockbuster 500 aircraft order from IndiGo. Air India then followed up by firming their 470 aircraft order the next day. The week had been flush with rumours of large orders, leading IBA to forecast a total greater than 2,000 aircraft. We did not hit that estimate. However, if Turkish Airlines had committed to their rumoured 600 aircraft order, we would’ve been very close! At the time of writing, on Friday lunchtime, the total orders including Firm, MOUs, LOIs and Options reached 1,303 aircraft, worth $72.4bn based on IBA’s 2023 Current Market Values. This is an impressive total, with only 2013 accruing a larger tally. A more interesting detail is that 1,160 (89%) were firm orders, the highest ever. Having firm orders is good news for the programmes in terms of long-term confidence in them as well as securing Pre-Delivery-Payments (PDP). Large orders will allow the operator to demand a superior price, however, the OEM may also be able to benefit from demanding higher PDP in the higher risk transactions. Operators appear to be firming up orders to secure delivery slots in an environment of supply delays. However, with orders of such scale, questions arise as to whether the local markets can accommodate the growth. This is especially the case when the two airlines making the largest orders are in the same country. Source: IBA Insight & Intelligence Indian carriers dominated orders as expected The Airbus press conference on Monday got the tally off the ground, announcing 500 new A320 family aircraft for IndiGo. In numerical terms, this eclipsed the 470 Air India order that was firmed on Tuesday, with the Boeing and Airbus announcements happening almost simultaneously, as to avoid one getting more headlines. It is also worth noting that IndiGo already had a backlog of 485 aircraft, putting their new total just shy of the 1,000 mark. IBA values this new order at $28.0bn. Despite the numerical inferiority, IBA value Air India’s order at $33.1bn. This difference can be attributed to Air India also ordering widebodies. Their order in full was 220 aircraft, with Boeing (190x 737 MAXs, 20x 787s and 10x 777Xs) plus 250 aircraft with Airbus (140x A320neos, 70x A321neos and 40x A350s). There is also an option with Boeing for a further 50x 737 MAXs and 20x 787s), which would take their order total to 540. Unlike IndiGo’s Airbus loyalty, the order is split between the two large OEMs, reflecting the very mixed fleet of the Indian flag carrier and its present and future subsidiaries. Including widebodies in the order will likely solidify the airline’s dominant international market share (27.8% share compared to IndiGo’s 10.7% in 2023). The airline severely lags IndiGo in the domestic market share however (26.6% compared with 57.5% of IndiGo). Both are expecting to gain share from each other but will also be reliant on the market’s growth. Recent estimates have the Indian aviation market growing at 9% annually and the country has pledged $12bn to Indian infrastructure. Whether that can accommodate these 970 aircraft before their first flights, is another thing. Avolon led the lessors With the scale of the orders, one could be forgiven for thinking there were lots of participants. Among operators, Western Europeans were conspicuously absent, albeit Ryanair had placed a large 150 aircraft order (plus 150 option) pre-show. It was also the case with lessors. Avolon’s 40x 737s and 20x A330 order, as well as an 80 LEAP engine deal the only large business among them. Interestingly, Avolon’s ratio of orders to current fleet is getting closer to parity, similar to the likes of well-known speculative lessors like Air Lease Corporation (ALC). In an aircraft supply bottleneck, the lessor has more control over lease rental pricing. This is compared to an operator receiving multiple lessor offers for Sale and Leaseback. This relationship of course reverses in oversupply. Their A330s are expected to be delivered through 2026-2029, with the narrowbodies likely in the 2030s. We don’t know what the market will look like then, so these orders are therefore purely speculative. Source: IBA Insight & Intelligence Airbus beat Boeing comprehensively The week had success for many OEMs with De-Havilland’s 49 aircraft orders and Embraer’s 28 up among pre-Covid levels. However, the gulf between Airbus and Boeing was quite sizeable. As discussed earlier, IndiGo operate solely A320 family aircraft which pulled the OEM far ahead in the narrowbody stakes. Airbus already led pre-show in total backlog with 8,546 aircraft to Boeing’s 7,069. When looking at the A320neo and 737 MAX alone, the Airbus advantage was 1,300. This is now wider. In the show, Airbus totalled 846 orders. This is over double Boeing’s 356 orders. What is particularly interesting is that Airbus also won on the widebody stakes this year, with 72 firm orders to Boeing’s 40 (excluding 20 on option). Boeing had exceeded Airbus in widebody orders in eight of the last ten years. Boeing will be hoping that production delays to the 777X don’t cause a turning point. Source: IBA Insight & Intelligence This IBA Weekly was written by: Neil FraserHead of Consulting Neil FraserManager - Airline Analysis

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Indigo Order Paris Air Show 2023

IndiGo’s order of 500 aircraft has notably eclipsed Air India’s 470 aircraft order made only in February this year (although there was also an option for 70 aircraft). When added to IndiGo's substantial existing backlog, questions will arise whether the Indian market can accommodate this number of aircraft.

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IBA Insight Shows Middle East Airlines Surpassing Pre-Pandemic Capacity

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer shows that Middle Eastern operators surpassed pre-pandemic capacity with ASKs at 103% in May 2023 compared to 2019 levels.

Paris Air Show returns in June 2023 after a four year break.

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IBA's predictions for Paris Air Show 2023

IBA's Chief Economist, Dr. Stuart Hatcher reveals his insights and sales predictions for The Paris Air Show 2023.

网络研讨会25May 2023

IBA Insight: What is the Outlook for eVTOL Values?

In the third edition of our IBA Insight series, Mike Yeomans, Denesz Thiyagarajan and Rami Abdel Aziz provided an overview of the eVTOL market, their top due diligence advice and the latest insight on residual values. Watch on Demand It’s estimated that 200 companies are currently working to manufacture electric vertical take-off and landing vehicles (eVTOLs). So, what is the market demand for these new technologies, and what will the assets be worth? Topics covered will include: Market overview Development update and entry-into-service timelines Valuation drivers and dynamics Valuation case studies for selected eVTOL types Watch on Demand If you have any further questions, please get in touch with [email protected].

网络研讨会26Apr 2023

IBA's Webinar: ESG in Aviation - What You Need To Know

How can the aviation industry, and more specifically aviation finance, tackle the existential challenges of ESG regulations? What are the ESG regulations and elements that you should be focusing on as an airline and a lessor? We hosted our latest webinar 'ESG in Aviation - What You Need to Know'. Our ESG experts Jeni Stanley & Danny Thurtle provided a comprehensive update on the latest ESG regulations and how they are, and will impact the aviation industry going forwards. Click here to watch the recording

Regional aircraft engine values face turbulence in early 2023

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Turbulence ahead for some regional aircraft engines, whilst others continue to outperform the market.

IBA's experts examine the latest trends in regional engine values and utilisation in our latest webinar 'IBA Insight - How are engine values performing?'.

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成熟宽体发动机市场难以恢复到疫情前水平

IBA专家Jamie Davey和Phil Seymour在我们最新召开的“IBA洞见-发动机价值表现如何?”主题网络研讨会上深入探讨了宽体发动机价值和使用的最新趋势。

新闻与公共关系05Apr

IBA Analysis: Easter Weekend flights close to Pre-pandemic levels

- Some low-cost carriers Easter flying set to be well over 2019 levels - The number of flights operating over the European Easter weekend (7th – 10th April, 2023) will be at 90% of 2019 levels on routes to and from Europe, according to data revealed by IBA the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company.

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Easter flights to be at 90 of pre-pandemic levels within Europe

The number of flights operating over the European Easter weekend between 7th – 10th April 2023 will be at 90% of 2019 levels on routes to and from Europe. Aviation intelligence from IBA Insight also reveals that some low-cost carriers will exceed pre-Covid levels.

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Could Saudi ambitions trigger a Middle East power play?

“My grandfather rode a camel. My father drove a car. I fly in jet planes. My son will drive a car. My grandson will ride a camel.” This contested quote relates to the desire to diversify away from an oil-export-dominant economy. Following Qatar and the UAE, it’s now a focus for Saudi Arabia. Aside from the emergence of Avilease last year with the announcement of a 12-aircraft SLB with flynas, the Saudi Public Investment Fund also launched Riyadh Air this week. This was closely followed by the $37Bn list price order for up to 121 x 787-9s to be split between the airline and Saudia. That’s a lot of capacity, and links closely with the Saudi vision to carry 330m passengers by the end of the decade (with close to a third visiting the country). Having spent much of my childhood in Riyadh and witnessing the speed of development, I have no doubt that they can succeed. Might this trigger a Middle Eastern power play whereby Emirates, Etihad and Qatar fight against the Saudi growth to destabilise the profitability for European and Asian carriers hoping to recapture market share? The combined carriers already have 465 passenger aircraft in active service, 95 parked or in storage, and 307 on backlog, I sense that, given their deep pockets, growth will proceed at any cost.

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ISTAT Americas and IBA's Learning Lunch - what we learned in San Diego

IBA's Chief Economist takes stock of the ain learnings from ISTAT Americas, San Diego, 2023.

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One year on – what’s happened to Russian airline capacity?

Over a year has now passed since the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the introduction of sanctions, and the reciprocal closure of western, Russian, and Belorussian airspace to select foreign registered aircraft. This naturally posed a huge challenge to European, Asian, and Russian operators as they worked hard to recover from the Coronavirus pandemic. Finnair elected to use the polar route to reconnect services to Japan, and the southern route to Southeast Asia and China. Flight data from IBA Insight reveals that Finnair operates the same number of flights into Singapore and Tokyo today as they did in 2019, but with increased flight durations on each route of 13% and 31% respectively. The airline’s utilisation of the A350 (with its 300 min ETOPS certification) has helped the carrier adapt flexibly. By contrast, operators such as Scandinavian Airlines have elected to remove Japan from their network altogether and have resumed only 7% of Chinese flights to-date. How have Russian operators been affected by sanctions and airspace closures? Russian operators were, in fact, leading the way in post-pandemic recovery with domestic ASKs already 10% above the 2019 peak by August 2020 and 32% by August 2021. Most notably, domestic ASKs sat at 36% above peak 2019 levels in August 2022, following 4 months of sanctions! Whilst we anticipated domestic growth as a result of a big fall in international capacity, I would have expected the sanctions to have dented passenger traffic to a greater extent. Whilst IBA Insight reveals that flights have reduced by around 11% since 2021, we have also observed flexibility in the utilisation of the Russian fleet. Usage of the A319, 737-700 and 737 classics has reduced in favour of increased deployment of the A321. Furthermore, we have witnessed a 20% increase in the usage of widebody aircraft on domestic routes, placing more reliance on the A330 and 777-300ER, the latter of which has seen a 111% increase in flights. Russian operators halted passenger A350 operations in 2021, and these aircraft were largely grounded at the onset of sanctions. Which international destinations are Russian operators flying to? International Capacity was down by 79% in 2020, recovering to 44% below 2019 levels in 2021. This reduced again to 67% below 2019 levels following sanctions. The number of countries visited by Russian operators had dropped from around 80 to less than 30 by the summer of 2022. The most popular summer destinations for Russian travellers proved to be Turkey (37% of capacity), followed by Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, UAE and Kyrgyzstan (each with around 10% capacity). Winter destinations tell a different story. As of February 2023, Thailand tops the list with 19% of the capacity, followed by UAE with 15% and Turkey coming in third with just 10% (just 29% of summer 2022 capacity). Worthy mentions also include Egypt, Cuba, Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and India. These collectively account for 15% of winter capacity but <5% of summer 2022 capacity. Egypt is proving a noteworthy winner, with a 1300% increase in traffic to the country from Russia. This has been buoyed by limited options, and the 2021 lifting of the ban on direct flights to Egyptian resort cities following the crash of Metrojet flight 9268. Locations such as the UAE, Turkey, The Maldives and Sri Lanka are up 50-75% on 2019, whilst Russia’s largest winter sun location, Thailand, still has some ground to catch up. Myself and the team will continue to monitor and report on the evolving situation for Russian carriers and the impact on lessors and the wider aviation finance community. Don’t miss out on the latest aviation intelligence The IBA team share regular insights on all aspects of commercial aviation, from airline capacity and travel trends to aircraft values and ESG strategy. Sign up today to get the latest intelligence from the IBA Weekly newsletter delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up to our IBA Weekly

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Narrowbody aircraft values set to climb through 2023

New narrowbody aircraft base values rose beyond the long-term trend into 2023, and lease rates are forecast to climb further this year, according to data revealed by Phil Seymour, Mike Yeomans, and Jonathan McDonald in the first of our new series of valuations webinars.

估值

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活动18Oct

Airline Economics New York 2023

IBA's Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, and ISTAT Certified Senior Appraiser is pleased to be a panelist at Airline Economics New York 2023 conference.Stuart will be speaking on the Financing & investing in aircraft & engines at 09:40am on 18th October 2023. If you have any questions in the interim, please contact [email protected]

网络研讨会20Sep 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar, September 2023

Are you looking for comprehensive, accurate and up-to-date information on the aviation industry? Watch IBA’s award-winning team on Wednesday 20th September for a post-summer update on the state of the aviation market and the outlook going forwards. The Webinar Designed for all aviation industry players, our Market Update Webinar will share the latest data and identify key trends shaping the market. Click the button below to watch on demand. Watch on Demand

新闻与公共关系08Aug

IBA Forecasts Oversupply of 737-800 P2f Aircraft

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has revealed there are signals of potential oversupply of the Boeing 737-800 passenger to freighter (P2F) aircraft, with 60 conversions forecast for this year alone.

网络研讨会03Aug 2023

IBA Insight: How are Freighter Values Performing?

The final episode of our IBA Insight webinar series. Over the past four months, IBA’s award-winning Valuations team have been sharing their latest intelligence on aviation values across all major asset types, engines, eVTOLs and helicopters. How do macroeconomic factors influence the narrowbody and widebody freighter markets? IBA’s intelligence discloses weakening cargo load factors and air freight yields. It summarises the active freighter fleet and market supply and demand, highlighting the 737-800’s enduring domination of narrowbody conversions with a potential risk of oversupply. The 767-300ER’s lead will continue for at least 3 years until the A330 takes over. Finally, IBA shares the relative performance of different conversion programmes and anticipated values and lease rate trends for popular freighter types. Watch on Demand

IBA Forecasts Positive Outlook For Helicopter Market

新闻与公共关系29Jun

IBA预测，直升机市场前景一片光明

在本周举办的网络研讨会上，行业领先的航空市场情报和咨询公司IBA概述了直升机市场的乐观前景。 IBA专家小组指出，目前航空市场存在关键积极因素，包括直升机租赁需求的持续增长、供应链压力的缓解、EMS（紧急医疗服务）及海上风电场等领域的增长潜力，以及超级中型直升机品类的成功引进和稳健发展。纵览整个航空市场，IBA列出的可处理价值超过550亿美元，目前全球有超过22,000架“西方制造”涡轮直升机。近年来，相似机型的年平均交付量约为500架，而2022年则较为特殊，供应链问题导致当年交付量不足500架。IBA预测，相关机型的交付量将于2023年恢复到475—525架。欧洲和北美洲租赁渗透率位列世界之首，亚洲和南美洲排名紧随其后，Leonardo AW139 和 Sikorsky S-92A在租赁市场遥遥领先，风头无两。轻型直升机市场成为最大的细分市场，此类机型仍然在急救（EMS）、公用事业和短程运输任务中发挥核心作用。在此类机型中，空客 H125、空客 H145以及Bell 407最受欢迎，前五年的年平均交付量为350架。IBA预计，2023年轻型直升机交付量将多达360架。到2023年中期，中型直升机机队将扩大到约3800架，用于各种用途，其中包括急救（EMS）、搜救（SAR）以及海上作业。其中最受欢迎的机型是Leonardo AW139，Leonardo AW169，Bell 412和空客 H155。IBA预测，其交付量将在2023年大幅增加，相比于2022年的55架，直升机将交付多达75架。对于以分别于2013年及2014年发布的Leonardo AW189和空客 H175为主的新型超级中型直升机机型，鉴于其无与伦比的运营性价比，许多人将其视为现役重型直升机的绝佳替代方案。IBA预计，2023年，此类机型交付量将多达10架。目前，空客 H225 和Sikorsky S-92系列正强势占据重型直升机的主导地位。自2016年以来，此类直升机的交付率持续低迷，然而，由于油价上涨和海上活动水平提高的驱动，其二手市场正在显著复苏。然而，此类直升机的交付率仍然增速迟缓，IBA估计，2023年的交付率将停滞在4架。 IBA预测，许多关键直升机运营部门将迎来蓬勃发展，其中，最为瞩目的当属急救板块，估计在未来十年内，急救的市场份额将从14%增长到19%。随着海上风电场强势增长的大力推动，海上作业将迎来蓬勃发展，其市场份额预计将从4%增长至7%，而消防作业将从2%增长至3%。各类直升机的价值在疫情之后都有所恢复，但重型直升机则稍显落后。轻型、中型和超级中型直升机的市场价值分别为基础值的115%、111%和106%，IBA预测所有直升机类别的价值在2023年和2024年得到进一步增长。然而，重型直升机的市场价值目前维持在基础价值的80%，前景不甚明朗。直升机的租赁价格也出现显著回升，而各类机型的对应增长趋势与其市场价值趋势基本持平。目前，轻型直升机的租赁价格为2019年水平的112%，中型和超中型皆为110%，而且根据IBA的预测，2023年和2024年还会出现进一步增长。与其晦暗的价值前景相似，重型直升机的近期租赁价格仍然前途未卜，油价变动将成为影响其价格变动的关键因素。只有石油价格维持在目前水平或出现新的增长，重型直升机租赁价格的前景才能保持乐观。 -结束- 关于IBA IBA 提供世界顶尖的航空咨询专业分析，以及最前沿和易执行的数据洞见，所有这些分析和洞见都来源于一支以客户为中心且经验丰富的专家团队。作为一家独立、创新且富有前瞻性的企业，IBA 在航空领域拥有 35 余年的资历和经验。IBA连续五年被客户评为“年度评估机构”，最近又凭借碳排放计算器连续斩获“可持续技术大奖”。对于诚信、独立和持续创新的企业精神，IBA深以为荣。 IBA 的成功离不开每一位IBA人的全力投入——他们分布全球各地，是一支行业顶尖，实打实的专家团队，对航空业充满热情，并一直在加倍努力，以求为客户提供更好的服务。如需更多信息，请访问 www.iba.aero IBA媒体联系人 Charlie Hampton/Faye Clarke 电子邮箱：[email protected] / [email protected] 电话: +44 (0)7884 187297

网络研讨会29Jun 2023

IBA Insight: How are helicopter values performing?

IBA’s Mike Yeomans and Rami Abdel Aziz gave a comprehensive overview of the helicopter market and the latest insights on value performance and trends. Click here to watch on demand

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Could Saudi ambitions trigger a Middle East power play?

“My grandfather rode a camel. My father drove a car. I fly in jet planes. My son will drive a car. My grandson will ride a camel.” This contested quote relates to the desire to diversify away from an oil-export-dominant economy. Following Qatar and the UAE, it’s now a focus for Saudi Arabia. Aside from the emergence of Avilease last year with the announcement of a 12-aircraft SLB with flynas, the Saudi Public Investment Fund also launched Riyadh Air this week. This was closely followed by the $37Bn list price order for up to 121 x 787-9s to be split between the airline and Saudia. That’s a lot of capacity, and links closely with the Saudi vision to carry 330m passengers by the end of the decade (with close to a third visiting the country). Having spent much of my childhood in Riyadh and witnessing the speed of development, I have no doubt that they can succeed. Might this trigger a Middle Eastern power play whereby Emirates, Etihad and Qatar fight against the Saudi growth to destabilise the profitability for European and Asian carriers hoping to recapture market share? The combined carriers already have 465 passenger aircraft in active service, 95 parked or in storage, and 307 on backlog, I sense that, given their deep pockets, growth will proceed at any cost.

Singapore Airlines Plane on the run way taking off

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New generation widebody lease rates are rising

New generation widebody lease rates are rising with some lag and more subdued value gains, according to data revealed by Phil Seymour,  Mike Yeomans, and Jonathan McDonald in our recent webinar. The latest trends in new generation widebody aircraft values and lease rates. Source: IBA Insight. The Airbus A350-900 was at US$925,000 per-month in January 2021 with an increase to US$954,000 per-month in January 2023. We predict this will have risen to US$1,007,000 per-month by July 2023.   Base value movements are more varied for new generation widebody aircraft. The Boeing 7879, 787-10, Airbus A350-900 and A350-1000 continue to grow, whereas the 787-8 and A330-900 fell between 2019 and 2022 (but stabilised into 2023). The latest mid-life widebody aircraft value and lease rate trends. Source: IBA Insight The base value decline for mid-life widebody aircraft has eased with the prospect of some market value recovery through the first half of 2023. A 12-year-old A330-300 was valued at US$20.04 million in 2022, and is predicted to drop to US$19.967 million in 2023. Some mid-life widebody lease rates are increasing, with a 12-year-old B777-300ER sitting at US$314,000 per-month in October 2022 and predicted to rise to US$350,000 per-month by July 2023.  Don’t miss our latest webinars Stay tuned for our forthcoming webinars covering new and existing asset classes. In the coming months we be taking a deep dive into value trends for Engines, EVTOLs, business jets, helicopters, and freighters. Follow us on LinkedIn for updates on our next webinar.  Discover our market-leading aircraft valuations services IBA has one of the largest teams of certified senior appraisers in the industry. We provide independent advice on wide-ranging, complex asset valuation requirements. From strategic fleet selection, transaction due diligence, portfolio appraisal, and operational decision-making through to annual portfolio and financial compliance monitoring, we'll have you covered! IBA is proud to be the Appointed Appraiser for COMAC ARJ21 Programme.  Find out more about IBA Valuations

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Narrowbody aircraft values set to climb through 2023

New narrowbody aircraft base values rose beyond the long-term trend into 2023, and lease rates are forecast to climb further this year, according to data revealed by Phil Seymour, Mike Yeomans, and Jonathan McDonald in the first of our new series of valuations webinars.

网络研讨会22Feb 2023

IBA Insight: How are major asset values performing?

IBA’s award-winning Valuations team shared their latest insights on aircraft values across all major asset types in our new webinar series. In our first edition, Phil Seymour, Mike Yeomans and Jonathan McDonald will reveal key trends across narrowbody and widebody aircraft, regional jets and turboprops, and freighters. Watch the recording

网络研讨会13Jan 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar January 2023

Join IBA for an update on current and future trends across the global aviation industry.

An airplane wing with blue sky and clouds in the background

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Key Trends for Global Aviation in 2023 - The IBA Perspective

In this short report, our experts Dr Stuart Hatcher, Geoff van Klaveren and Mike Yeomans share their expectations for the year ahead, examining macroeconomic factors, supply and demand, and challenges to airlines and aircraft values.

网络研讨会29Nov 2022

Ask the Appraiser: How are Widebody Aircraft Values Performing?

IBA presents: Ask the Appraiser. Our brand-new series of regular short webinars, designed to deliver you vital updates on how values are performing across the different aviation asset classes.

A man in a high visibility jacket and ear defenders stands in front of a Dash 8 Q400 turboprop aircraft with a grey sky in the background

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Ask the Appraiser - How are Regional Jet and Turboprop aircraft values performing?

In the second edition of our ‘Ask the Appraiser’ webinars, our experts Jonathan McDonald and Phil Seymour examine the trajectory of regional jet and turboprop aircraft values, identifying the hottest trends and the impact of macroeconomic factors on the market.

网络研讨会10Nov 2022

Ask the Appraiser: How are Regional Jet and Turboprop Aircraft Values Performing?

IBA presents: Ask the Appraiser. Our brand-new series of regular short webinars, designed to deliver you vital updates on how values are performing across the different aviation asset classes. In the first of the series, join our experts Mike Yeomans and Jonathan McDonald for an overview of the freighter market. Watch the webinar

An orange, red and white COMAC ARJ21 aircraft lifting off from a runway

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Ask the Appraiser - valuing the COMAC ARJ21

Our experts shine a light on the value and lease rate outlook for the ARJ21 and look at the wider market outlook for the Chinese regional jet.

A boeing 747-400 freighter aircraft on takeoff with a grey sky behind

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Ask the Appraiser: An Overview of the Freighter Market

In the first in our series of ‘Ask the Appraiser’ webinars, our experts Jonathan McDonald and Mike Yeomans examined the trajectory of freighter values, identified the hottest trends in P2F conversions, and explored the impact of macroeconomic factors on the air cargo market.

网络研讨会03Nov 2022

Ask the Appraiser: Trajectory of Freighter Values

IBA presents: Ask the Appraiser. Our brand-new series of regular short webinars, designed to deliver you vital updates on how values are performing across the different aviation asset classes. In the first of the series, join our experts Mike Yeomans and Jonathan McDonald for an overview of the freighter market. Watch the recording Topics covered include: The trajectory of freighter values and lease rates The state of supply and demand in air cargo The landscape for P2F conversions What's happening in the macro-economic environment, and the impacts on the sector If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch with Mike Yeomans. The data used in this webinar is from IBA Insight, our leading intelligence platform for aviation finance. IBA Insight combines speed, accuracy, visual analytics and intuitive navigation to deliver actionable insight from comprehensive, integrated fleet, values, flight, carbon and market aviation data. More information can be found here.

网络研讨会12Sep 2022

IBA's Webinar: What does the future hold for Aviation in the Americas?

What's the outlook for Aviation in the Americas? Join IBA, the 2022 Appraiser of the Year, for the latest update on current and future trends and activity across the American aviation industry.Listen in to our panel of experts; Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, Mike Yeomans, Director – Valuations and Consulting, and Jack Ambrose, Regional Sales Manager (Americas) as they uncover, review and discuss key trends across aviation finance. This session was specifically designed to provide valuable insight that will support the aviation community in the Americas to identify market opportunities, structure deals, and mitigate risk within the current market. Topics include: Macro-economic update – inflation, interest rates, currency, oil price & airline failures Airline activity – US, South American, and Canadian Airlines performance OEM activity – latest on orders Valuation trends & trading activity – Asset performance in 2022 and beyond The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Jack Ambrose. Discover what makes IBA Insight the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

A black and white Airbus A350 passenger jet aircraft climbing into a blue sky with few cloudssky with wheels down

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Widebody aircraft values update – August 2022

IBA's expert team share the latest updates to widebody commercial aircraft values as part of our mid-year market update webinar.

环境

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IBA Sustainability Watch - September 2023

Welcome to IBA’s September Sustainability Watch Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net zero emissions, and their real-term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team share key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

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Sustainable Aviation Fuel: How sustainable is it really?

Luisa Barnes, Aviation Analyst - ESG [email protected] To tackle emissions from the aviation industry, at present, Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is a frequently discussed and relied upon prospect. While research shows SAF is a ‘win’ in theory, there are questions over the supposedly ‘sustainable’ alternatives that are often overlooked.

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IBA Sustainability Watch - August 2023

Welcome to IBA Sustainability Watch: August 2023 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net zero emissions, and their real-term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team will be sharing key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

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Frequent Flyer Tax

Danny Thurtle, Aviation Analyst - ESG [email protected] Aviation demand analysis Claims surrounding the concentrated socioeconomic nature of air passenger demand are widespread. In North America in 2017/18, 19% of the population took 4 or more flights per year; accounting for a staggering 82% of all flights in the region[1]. The argument put forwards by those advocating for a frequent flyer levy (FFL) is that the small proportion of populations that fly regularly should be paying for the disproportionate impact they have on aviation’s emissions.

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IBA Sustainability Watch - July 2023

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net-zero emissions, and their real term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team will be sharing key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

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IBA Sustainability Watch - June 2023

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net-zero emissions, and their real term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team will be sharing key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

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What Does Global Temperature Rise Mean for Aviation

Luisa Barnes, Aviation Analyst [email protected] The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recently published a report stating that climate change is set to breach the warming limit, set under the 2015 Paris Agreement. By the year 2027, they warn of a global 1.5°C temperature rise for the first time and a 2 in 3 chance that within the next five years, we’ll exceed the crucial 1.5°C threshold during a one-year period. So overall, the IPCC expects the next five years to be the hottest ever on record. What’s more, on top of the global warming from anthropogenic activities, it is probable that the oscillating weather system ‘El Niño’ will force temperatures to record levels and profound emission mitigation is urgently needed if we are to avoid irreversible damage.

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IBA Sustainability Watch - May 2023

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net-zero emissions, and their real term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team will be sharing key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

新闻与公共关系27Apr

Differing Airline Exposure Levels From EU ETS and CORSIA Regulations

New aviation regulations relating to the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and ICAO’s CORSIA scheme will have markedly different impacts on certain airlines and airline types, according to data revealed by the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, IBA. In IBA’s latest webinar, its experts revealed that there are four main driving forces for ESG investing: government and regulatory pressure, ESG material risk and growth, consumer awareness, and Covid-19 as a catalyst. IBA looked at two case studies to demonstrate the impact ESG regulations are having on the aviation industry, ultimately highlighting that the two will have differing impacts on certain airlines and airline types. The first case study was CORSIA, which has a monitoring, reporting and verification (MRV) process with a baseline set at 85% of 2019 emissions. Implementation has already begun with a pilot phase for volunteering states. However, in the next few years, it will become operational on a mandatory basis. IBA states that emissions are unlikely to exceed the baseline level until 2024 when demand returns to close to pre-pandemic levels. However, it’s not until 2027 that all states are mandated to join. Despite being a global scheme, CORSIA won’t impact regions uniformly. According to data from IBA’s NetZero platform, due to the nature of the European flight network, almost 65% of all European traffic is subject to CORSIA MRV, including a significant portion of short and medium-haul flights. In comparison, only 29% of North American emissions are subject to MRV. The second case study influencing ESG in the market is the EU ETS. Low-cost carriers have a high amount of exposure to the ETS because of the nature of their network and fleet. For example, Ryanair has a total of 13.51 MtCO2 (metric tonnes of CO2) with 10.24 MtCO2 subject to EU ETS according to data from IBA NetZero. Whereas flag carriers and network operators, the majority of whose emissions are generated on long-haul sectors by widebody aircraft, have very little exposure to European carbon prices. Instead, these will be more exposed to CORSIA offset obligations should the industry breach the baseline. For example, Lufthansa has a total of 17.82 MtCO2 with just 3.65 MtCO2 subject to EU ETS as revealed by IBA NetZero. When comparing the schemes, carbon prices in the EU ETS are 20 times higher than a CORSIA offset, and IBA predicts that is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future. This stark difference is firstly because the EU ETS was formulated and implemented in 2005, despite aviation not being included until 2012. This meant that for many years the carbon price was low due to a surplus of allowances in the market. It’s only in recent years that the EU allowance (EUA) price has grown to a sufficient price to incentivise transitions. Secondly, while CORSIA may have a similar development pattern, international aviation has not yet exceeded the CORSIA baseline, meaning voluntary offsetting obligations remain negligible. Once the baseline is surpassed, the massive surplus of certified offset projects will begin to decrease, and will continue to do so when the policy becomes mandatory in 2027. However, IBA states that it is unlikely CORSIA will ever match the EUA price. The nature of CORSIA means that the price will be determined by the availability and credibility of offset projects. By comparison, the EUA reflects the price of emitting a tonne of carbon, which will continue to rise as the cap reduces, and it becomes more beneficial to actively reduce scope 1 emissions. Aviation regulations are set to be included in the newest version of the EU Taxonomy, and these will come into force from January 2024. This means that under the correct parameters, investing in aviation will be a ‘green investment’. This will result in more money flowing into the industry, allowing for investment into SAF, carbon capture, fleet renewal and research into new ways of reducing carbon emissions. However, there are limitations to what can be included within the EU Taxonomy which are broken out into four areas: manufacturing, leasing, passenger and freight, and ground handling operations. Additionally, there are strict targets for leasing and airlines to meet. Most significantly, from January 2028 to December 2032, aircraft manufactured must also be certified to operate on a 100% blend of SAF.

网络研讨会26Apr 2023

IBA's Webinar: ESG in Aviation - What You Need To Know

How can the aviation industry, and more specifically aviation finance, tackle the existential challenges of ESG regulations? What are the ESG regulations and elements that you should be focusing on as an airline and a lessor? We hosted our latest webinar 'ESG in Aviation - What You Need to Know'. Our ESG experts Jeni Stanley & Danny Thurtle provided a comprehensive update on the latest ESG regulations and how they are, and will impact the aviation industry going forwards. Click here to watch the recording

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IBA Sustainability Watch - April 2023

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net-zero emissions, and their real term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team share key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

新闻与公共关系18Apr

European Parliament approves the world’s first carbon border levy.

New reforms mean that there will be a levy on imports of high-carbon goods from 2026, affecting imported fertilisers, cement, steel, aluminium, electricity, and hydrogen.

视频和音频

IBA - Accelerating Aviation to Net Zero

IBA is the leading aviation data, intelligence and advisory company, providing award-winning solutions, valuations and asset management. With unrivalled data intelligence through IBA NetZero and IBA Insight, they work with airlines, financiers, aircraft manufacturers and leasing companies. IBA’s powerful combination of in-house expertise backed up with cutting-edge carbon emissions data from their IBA NetZero platform means IBA is well-adapted to provide industry players with critical support and guidance. In this film, we learn about ESG scoring and assessments, how decarbonizing by 2050 will impact ticket prices and profit and understand how IBA supports companies to achieve their ESG objectives.

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IBA Sustainability Watch - March 2023

The latest news and trends in sustainable aviation from IBA's ESG Consulting team

Image of an aeroplane wing with a mountain in the background

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IBA's Carbon Index - What Happened in December 2022?

IBA has published its latest aviation Carbon Index in partnership with KPMG. This time, we use IBA NetZero to shine a light on the EU ETS scheme and what it means for operators and portfolios.

网络研讨会13Jan 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar January 2023

Join IBA for an update on current and future trends across the global aviation industry.

新闻与公共关系05Jan

Air China leads Chinese 'Big 3' in Emissions Efficiency Improvements

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has today published an analysis of the improving emissions footprint of the ‘Big 3’ Chinese airlines, revealing that Air China is leading the field.

新闻与公共关系15Nov

IBA's latest Carbon Index reveals differing regional attitudes to CORSIA emissions regulation

IBA has published its latest aviation Carbon Emissions Index in partnership with KPMG. The analysis uses IBA NetZero scenarios to shine a light on regional attitudes to emerging CORSIA emissions regulation.

A ryanair aircraft on the ground at an airport next to a fuel truck

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Carbon Index Spotlight on Airlines, Aircraft and Lessors - October 2022

IBA has published its latest aviation Carbon Index in partnership with KPMG. In our latest analysis, we use IBA NetZero to shine a light on regional attitudes to emerging CORSIA emissions regulation.

新闻与公共关系26Oct

IBA Models the Cost Implications of Net Zero for Commercial Aviation

26 October 2022: IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consulting company, has enhanced its IBA Insight and NetZero analytics platforms with a host of new features.

市场分析

网络研讨会20Sep 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar, September 2023

Are you looking for comprehensive, accurate and up-to-date information on the aviation industry? Watch IBA’s award-winning team on Wednesday 20th September for a post-summer update on the state of the aviation market and the outlook going forwards. The Webinar Designed for all aviation industry players, our Market Update Webinar will share the latest data and identify key trends shaping the market. Click the button below to watch on demand. Watch on Demand

新闻与公共关系10Aug

China Airline Capacity Jumps to Almost Reach Pre-Pandemic Levels

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer reveals that passenger ASKs from Chinese operators were trending at 96% of 2019 levels in July 2023, a strong increase from 89% in June 2023. IBA’s leading aviation intelligence platform, IBA Insight, further shows that in July: Monthly global passenger capacity edges closer to a full recovery, reaching 97% of pre-pandemic ASKs in July 2023, a gain of +2% compared to June 2023. In July, operators from Africa, North America, Latin America and the Middle East surpassed pre-pandemic capacity, while operators in APAC and Europe continue to lag slightly behind. APAC operator capacity has now surpassed 90% of pre-pandemic levels, supported by a strong July within the Chinese market. Assessing the current trend, IBA expects global passenger ASKs to surpass 2019 levels by October 2023. In July 2023, there were approximately 04 million commercial passenger flights, compared to 2.82 million in June 2023, while 2.64 million flights were recorded in July 2022. Chinese operators recorded 451k commercial passenger flights in July 2023, compared to 388k in June 2023 and 296k in June 2022. There were 110 commercial aircraft deliveries in July 2023, representing a month-on-month and year-on-year variance of -24% and +34% So far during 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries have averaged 45 per month, compared to Boeing's 737 MAX at 35 per month. -ENDS- About IBA IBA delivers the best of all worlds - deep aviation consultancy expertise, and cutting-edge and actionable data insights, all delivered by a proven, expert team with a strong customer focus. An independent, innovative and forward-thinking business, IBA has over 35 years of heritage and experience in aviation. Having won the Sustainable Technology award for its IBA NetZero platform in 2023 and for its Carbon Emissions Calculator in 2022, and being named 'Appraiser of the Year' by their clients for five years, IBA prides itself on its integrity, fierce independence, and continual innovation. The key to IBA’s success is its people – some of the best in the industry, based in multiple locations across the globe – real experts who are passionate about aviation and go the extra mile for their clients. For more information, visit www.iba.aero IBA media contacts Charlie Hampton / Faye Clarke Email: [email protected] / [email protected] Mobile: +44 (0)7884 187297

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IBA Sustainability Watch - August 2023

Welcome to IBA Sustainability Watch: August 2023 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to investments in aviation, and authorities across the world are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net zero emissions, and their real-term impacts on all key players across the industry. Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team will be sharing key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

新闻与公共关系26Jul

IBA发布最新飞机市场情报报告（AMIR） “飞机订单激增，市场价值回升”

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Global Airline Passenger Capacity to Surpass 2019 Levels in October, IBA Predicts

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer predicts that global passenger ASKs (available seat kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels by October 2023, having reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023.

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Indigo Order Paris Air Show 2023

IndiGo’s order of 500 aircraft has notably eclipsed Air India’s 470 aircraft order made only in February this year (although there was also an option for 70 aircraft). When added to IndiGo's substantial existing backlog, questions will arise whether the Indian market can accommodate this number of aircraft.

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IBA Insight Shows Middle East Airlines Surpassing Pre-Pandemic Capacity

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer shows that Middle Eastern operators surpassed pre-pandemic capacity with ASKs at 103% in May 2023 compared to 2019 levels.

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IBA's predictions for Paris Air Show 2023

IBA's Chief Economist, Dr. Stuart Hatcher reveals his insights and sales predictions for The Paris Air Show 2023.

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3 Influential women in aviation history (you may not have heard of)

This International Women's Day, we asked the IBA team to highlight the achievements of 3 influential women who made their mark in aviation history, from Spitfires to Concorde.

A KLM 737 passenger jet on the ground at an airport

新闻与公共关系08Mar

IBA Analysis - Amsterdam Schiphol flight cap

IBA comments on the legal action planned by airlines following the introduction of flight caps in Amsterdam

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One year on – what’s happened to Russian airline capacity?

Over a year has now passed since the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the introduction of sanctions, and the reciprocal closure of western, Russian, and Belorussian airspace to select foreign registered aircraft. This naturally posed a huge challenge to European, Asian, and Russian operators as they worked hard to recover from the Coronavirus pandemic. Finnair elected to use the polar route to reconnect services to Japan, and the southern route to Southeast Asia and China. Flight data from IBA Insight reveals that Finnair operates the same number of flights into Singapore and Tokyo today as they did in 2019, but with increased flight durations on each route of 13% and 31% respectively. The airline’s utilisation of the A350 (with its 300 min ETOPS certification) has helped the carrier adapt flexibly. By contrast, operators such as Scandinavian Airlines have elected to remove Japan from their network altogether and have resumed only 7% of Chinese flights to-date. How have Russian operators been affected by sanctions and airspace closures? Russian operators were, in fact, leading the way in post-pandemic recovery with domestic ASKs already 10% above the 2019 peak by August 2020 and 32% by August 2021. Most notably, domestic ASKs sat at 36% above peak 2019 levels in August 2022, following 4 months of sanctions! Whilst we anticipated domestic growth as a result of a big fall in international capacity, I would have expected the sanctions to have dented passenger traffic to a greater extent. Whilst IBA Insight reveals that flights have reduced by around 11% since 2021, we have also observed flexibility in the utilisation of the Russian fleet. Usage of the A319, 737-700 and 737 classics has reduced in favour of increased deployment of the A321. Furthermore, we have witnessed a 20% increase in the usage of widebody aircraft on domestic routes, placing more reliance on the A330 and 777-300ER, the latter of which has seen a 111% increase in flights. Russian operators halted passenger A350 operations in 2021, and these aircraft were largely grounded at the onset of sanctions. Which international destinations are Russian operators flying to? International Capacity was down by 79% in 2020, recovering to 44% below 2019 levels in 2021. This reduced again to 67% below 2019 levels following sanctions. The number of countries visited by Russian operators had dropped from around 80 to less than 30 by the summer of 2022. The most popular summer destinations for Russian travellers proved to be Turkey (37% of capacity), followed by Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, UAE and Kyrgyzstan (each with around 10% capacity). Winter destinations tell a different story. As of February 2023, Thailand tops the list with 19% of the capacity, followed by UAE with 15% and Turkey coming in third with just 10% (just 29% of summer 2022 capacity). Worthy mentions also include Egypt, Cuba, Sri Lanka, the Maldives, and India. These collectively account for 15% of winter capacity but <5% of summer 2022 capacity. Egypt is proving a noteworthy winner, with a 1300% increase in traffic to the country from Russia. This has been buoyed by limited options, and the 2021 lifting of the ban on direct flights to Egyptian resort cities following the crash of Metrojet flight 9268. Locations such as the UAE, Turkey, The Maldives and Sri Lanka are up 50-75% on 2019, whilst Russia’s largest winter sun location, Thailand, still has some ground to catch up. Myself and the team will continue to monitor and report on the evolving situation for Russian carriers and the impact on lessors and the wider aviation finance community. Don’t miss out on the latest aviation intelligence The IBA team share regular insights on all aspects of commercial aviation, from airline capacity and travel trends to aircraft values and ESG strategy. Sign up today to get the latest intelligence from the IBA Weekly newsletter delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up to our IBA Weekly

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Latest financial results indicate a positive outlook for Delta and United

The latest financial results published by two of the ‘big four’ US carriers indicate a positive outlook moving into 2023.

passengers waiting in an airport terminal to board an aircraft through a window

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Airline Consolidation - the outlook for 2023

What types of operators and which global regions are most likely to see consolidation in 2023?

网络研讨会13Jan 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar January 2023

Join IBA for an update on current and future trends across the global aviation industry.

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Key Trends for Global Aviation in 2023 - The IBA Perspective

In this short report, our experts Dr Stuart Hatcher, Geoff van Klaveren and Mike Yeomans share their expectations for the year ahead, examining macroeconomic factors, supply and demand, and challenges to airlines and aircraft values.

A LATAM Boeing 787 Dreamliner jet aircraft landing on a runway at an airport with buildings in the background

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Latin America leads global capacity recovery

IBA Insight has revealed that the Latin American region is leading global air traffic recovery, with capacity now exceeding pre-pandemic levels recorded in 2019.

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Carbon Index Spotlight on Airlines, Aircraft and Lessors - August 2022

IBA has published its latest aviation Carbon Index in partnership with KPMG. Our latest analysis for August 2022 includes a spotlight on the most efficient airlines globally by region.

a loganair embraer jet taking off from an airport with sky and other airplanes in the background

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Why Loganair is a unique prospect for it's next owners

IBA's Manager of Airline Analysis Neil Fraser shares his perspectives on the sale of Scottish carrier Loganair.

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Transavia plan to utilise Airbus A320neo in France next year

IBA's Neil Fraser comments on Transavia's likely deployment of Airbus aircraft for summer 2023.

网络研讨会12Sep 2022

IBA's Webinar: What does the future hold for Aviation in the Americas?

What's the outlook for Aviation in the Americas? Join IBA, the 2022 Appraiser of the Year, for the latest update on current and future trends and activity across the American aviation industry.Listen in to our panel of experts; Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, Mike Yeomans, Director – Valuations and Consulting, and Jack Ambrose, Regional Sales Manager (Americas) as they uncover, review and discuss key trends across aviation finance. This session was specifically designed to provide valuable insight that will support the aviation community in the Americas to identify market opportunities, structure deals, and mitigate risk within the current market. Topics include: Macro-economic update – inflation, interest rates, currency, oil price & airline failures Airline activity – US, South American, and Canadian Airlines performance OEM activity – latest on orders Valuation trends & trading activity – Asset performance in 2022 and beyond The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Jack Ambrose. Discover what makes IBA Insight the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

客机改货机项目

新闻与公共关系08Aug

IBA Forecasts Oversupply of 737-800 P2f Aircraft

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has revealed there are signals of potential oversupply of the Boeing 737-800 passenger to freighter (P2F) aircraft, with 60 conversions forecast for this year alone.

网络研讨会03Aug 2023

IBA Insight: How are Freighter Values Performing?

The final episode of our IBA Insight webinar series. Over the past four months, IBA’s award-winning Valuations team have been sharing their latest intelligence on aviation values across all major asset types, engines, eVTOLs and helicopters. How do macroeconomic factors influence the narrowbody and widebody freighter markets? IBA’s intelligence discloses weakening cargo load factors and air freight yields. It summarises the active freighter fleet and market supply and demand, highlighting the 737-800’s enduring domination of narrowbody conversions with a potential risk of oversupply. The 767-300ER’s lead will continue for at least 3 years until the A330 takes over. Finally, IBA shares the relative performance of different conversion programmes and anticipated values and lease rate trends for popular freighter types. Watch on Demand

A digital rendering of an Embraer 190 passenger to freighter conversion aircraft in the livery of Nordic Aviation Capital (NAC)

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Nordic Aviation Capital confirmed as launch customer for Embraer E-Jet freighters

What does the first order for E-Jet conversion slots mean for Embraer's freighter conversions?

A Boeing 737 jet cargo aircraft with it's cargo door open

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Boeing 737-800 leads passenger to freighter fleet growth in 2022

Our recent webinar highlighted the aircraft types driving the growth in global passenger to freighter conversions.

Freighter aircraft loading cargo in an airport

网络研讨会29Apr 2022

Emerging Freighter Value Trends for 2022

What is the current and future trajectory for freighter aircraft around the world? In this upcoming webinar, our ISTAT certified Appraisers will share their opinion plus the latest market intelligence from IBA Insight on freighter value performance. Listen in to our panel of experts; Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations and Consulting, and Jonathan McDonald, Manager – Classic & Cargo Aircraft as they uncover, review and discuss global trends across aviation finance. Topics include: How are freighter values and lease rates performing? Which conversion programmes are performing well? How is the landscape of conversion houses changing? How will the Russia/Ukraine conflict impact the freighter market? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Stuart Hatcher. Discover what makes IBA Insight the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

An image of a cargo plane being loaded with freight

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4 Key air cargo trends to watch for in 2022

Using a combination of data sources together with IBA's own research and leading InsightIQ aviation intelligence platform, we have identified 4 key trends that will define the performance of the air freight market in 2022.

A Boeing 767-300ER freighter aircraft operated by UPS airlines in flight with landing gear down

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Which aircraft make the most cost-efficient freighter conversions?

Which commercial aircraft make the most cost-effective freighter conversions? We use InsightIQ to examine the state of play in the market.

网络研讨会20Oct 2021

The Future of the Passenger - to - Freighter Conversion Market: 2021 and Beyond

The freighter market continues to perform strongly but for how long, and what are the risks to sustained growth and investment? Connect with Phil Seymour, IBA's President, Jonathan McDonald, IBA's Head Analyst Commercial and Ageing Aircraft and Robert Convey, Senior VP at AEI, for an interactive and unmissable session about the freighter market. Topics covered include: What is the current and future outlook for growth, utilisation and transactions? Which conversion programmes are performing well? How is the landscape of conversion houses changing? How good is the supply of conversion candidates? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

An Amazon Prime Air Boeing 737-800BCF aircraft in flight with high lift devices and landing gear extended

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Amazon Air Fleet Grows with E-Commerce Market Boom

Amazon's Prime Air operation commenced flights in 2016 when it secured the use of a single Boeing 767-200BDSF.

A Cathay Pacific Boeing 777-300 aircraft taking off from a runway

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Older Widebody Aircraft Values Suffer Pandemic's Influence

IBA has adjusted base values for older widebody aircraft. Our analysis looks at the state of the market through the lens of two key aircraft types.

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Can P2F Conversions fulfil the unprecedented demand for Global Air Cargo?

With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, airlines saw the majority (and in some cases all) of their passenger fleets grounded as various lockdowns came into force around world.

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4 Key Drivers of Demand in the Global Air Cargo Market

As well the vital role it continues to play in supporting the global economy, the air cargo market is now becoming increasingly important in powering global COVID vaccine distribution.

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客改货（P2F）市场形态变化

新一批客改货机目前正在进入市场，与此同时，促使飞机进行改装的原因有哪些？在本文中，IBA考虑了影响客改货的因素，并预测了市场的走向。

新闻与公共关系26Feb

IBA最新研究表明，中国的货运飞机需求保持了强劲增长然而货机价值和租金扔受压力

（2021年3月4日）受新冠疫情的影响，中国对货机的需求继续强劲增长，但领先的航空行业咨询公司IBA通过数据分析发现，由于可供改装飞机供过于求，货机的价格和租金仍然受到压制。

网络研讨会25Feb 2021

IBA网络研讨会：关于2021年货机价值你需要了解的一切

为更清楚地了解货机的价值以及价值和租赁率变化背后的推手，我们邀请了IBA经验丰富、屡获殊荣的估值专家参加了我们新的网络研讨会系列。在三个会议环节中的第二个环节中，我们的ISTAT合格评估专家小组将重点讨论货机市场。届时小组将讨论下列问题和专题： IBA的资产价值和货机租赁费率是如何变动的？ IBA近期市场走势背后的推手是什么？不同方案的转换需求有多强？有哪些货机可以使用，价格的竞争力如何？ IBA对2021年可能发生的事情有何看法？可从本链接下载幻灯片组我们希望本次研讨会能对货机市场有一个很好的观察和洞察，并与您的业务相关。如果您有任何其它问题、意见或反馈，请联系：Jonathan McDonald

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A New Era of Widebody Freighters

For a number of years now the widebody freighter market has really been focused, in terms of ordering activity and building fleet numbers, on three types, the Boeing 767-300ER, Boeing 777F and Boeing 747-8F. These three types supplementing and/or replacing models such as the Boeing 747-400 and McDonnell Douglas MD-11, whether these be factory produced freighters or converted freighters. With production of the Boeing 747-8F expected to reach its conclusion in 2022 and Boeing 767-300ER feedstock winding down, attention inevitably turns to which types can fill the void, enter the Airbus A330P2F and Boeing 777-300ERSF.

image of an aeroplane flying above buildings

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What Are the Current Utilisation Levels for the 777 Family and Predicted Attrition?

As you will be aware, the withdrawal of passenger capacity from the market has driven extraordinary demand for dedicated freighters. Some passenger aircraft have been temporarily converted and freight movements have strengthened. Using flight data from IBA's Intelligence platform InsightIQ, we can illustrate the utilisation of the 777 Boeing Family.

drawing of an aeroplane flying down to the right followed by a trail left behind

新闻与公共关系02Nov

Aviation Shifting From Initial Covid Impact To Longer Term Survival Strategies, Says IBA

- Airlines remain loss-making, but some quarter on quarter improvements - - Fleet exits continuing, but younger aircraft value drops limited - - Modest recovery in some domestic markets, but load factors low - - OEM production rates constrained, with MAX return set to shift market dynamics -

新闻与公共关系28May

IBA Highlights High Air Freighter Demand But Mixed Long Term Potential For Aircraft Types

20th May, 2020: IBA, the leading, independent aviation consultant, has highlighted the very high levels of current demand for air cargo in the current Covid-19 environment, but painted a more conservative picture of long term demand for certain aircraft types.

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IBA's Freighter Market Outlook, November 2019

Following IBA's mid-year P2F market update, Jonathan McDonald, Senior Commercial Ageing Aircraft Analyst, revisits the market to provide insight into current freighter market characteristics. This short webcast session looks at the conversion programme, growth forecasts, conversion costs, values and leasing rates, feedstock and lastly our view on current topics such as the pickle fork AD and the New Generation Boeing 777-300ERBDSF programme.

发动机

活动18Oct

Airline Economics New York 2023

IBA's Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, and ISTAT Certified Senior Appraiser is pleased to be a panelist at Airline Economics New York 2023 conference.Stuart will be speaking on the Financing & investing in aircraft & engines at 09:40am on 18th October 2023. If you have any questions in the interim, please contact [email protected]

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Turbulence ahead for some regional aircraft engines, whilst others continue to outperform the market.

IBA's experts examine the latest trends in regional engine values and utilisation in our latest webinar 'IBA Insight - How are engine values performing?'.

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成熟宽体发动机市场难以恢复到疫情前水平

IBA专家Jamie Davey和Phil Seymour在我们最新召开的“IBA洞见-发动机价值表现如何?”主题网络研讨会上深入探讨了宽体发动机价值和使用的最新趋势。

New generation narrowbody engine values surge beyond 2019 levels

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新一代窄体发动机价值超过2019年水平

介绍：IBA专家Jamie Davey和Phil Seymour在我们最新召开的“IBA洞见-发动机价值表现如何?”主题研讨会上深入探讨了发动机价值的最新趋势。

新闻与公共关系31Mar

New gen narrowbody engine values surge as mature widebody engines lag

New generation narrowbody engines remain a highly liquid asset with strong orderbooks, reflecting a complete post-pandemic recovery for this type, according to data revealed by the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, IBA.

网络研讨会30Mar 2023

IBA Insight: How are engine values performing?

IBA’s award-winning Valuations team will be sharing their latest insights on engine values in our new webinar series. In our second edition, Phil Seymour and Jamie Davey will reveal key trends to watch for in 2023, the impact of supply chains and inflation on engines values, values and lease rates update for popular engine types and parts and aftermarket updates. Click here to watch the recording

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Regional aircraft engine values update - March 2022

The latest trends in regional aircraft engines you need to know, powered by IBA's InsightIQ.

A jet engine fitted to an Aeroflot aircraft in flight

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Which aircraft engines are most exposed to the Ukraine crisis?

IBA's insight has identified that engine lessors are far less exposed to the impacts of the Ukraine Crisis than aircraft lessors.

A view of an orange jet engine fitted to an EasyJet Airbus A320neo aircraft

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Utilisation driving greater value stability for narrowbody aircraft engines

The latest trends in narrowbody aircraft engines you need to know, powered by IBA Insight.

A view from the wing of a Boeing 747-400 aircraft showing wingtip and jet engines

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Freighters buck the trend in latest widebody aircraft engine values

The latest trends in aircraft engines you need to know, powered by IBA Insight.

网络研讨会25Mar 2022

Emerging Engine Value Trends for 2022

What is the trajectory for aircraft engines in 2022? In our webinar, IBA's engine appraisers share their opinion plus the latest market intelligence from InsightIQ on the state of the market, supply and demand of engines, shop visit forecasts, and much more. Listen in to our panel of experts; Phil Seymour, Company President, David Archer, Head of General Aviation and Aftermarket Value, and Jamie Davey, Manager - Commercial Engines, as they explore the current and future market for engines. Topics include: OEM and aftermarket performance Supply and demand of engines Shop visit forecast Value and lease rate performance Distribution of the fleet The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

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Freighter Engine Recovery leads over Passenger Aircraft Engines

Utilisation of freighter aircraft engines is leading over passenger, but such comparisons should be viewed in context, writes David Archer.

A close up view of a jet engine mounted on a Boeing 737

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Narrowbody Aircraft Engine Value Trends Update - October 2021

IBA has reviewed and updated our forecasts for narrowbody aircraft trends in October 2021.

A jet engine mounted on the wing of an Airbus A330 aircraft on takeoff, with flaps and landing gear down

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Widebody Aircraft Engine Value Trends Update - October 2021

IBA has reviewed and updated our forecasts for widebody aircraft engine trends in October 2021.

网络研讨会30Sep 2021

Tracking the Global Recovery - Engines, all you need to know for Q3

What is the trajectory of aircraft engines in Q3? In our upcoming webinar, IBA's experts, along with Harry Breach, Director at Stifel, will be sharing their views plus the latest market intelligence from InsightIQ on the state of the market, supply and demand of engines, shop visit forecasts, and more. Listen in to our panel of experts; Stuart Hatcher, Chief Revenue Officer, David Archer, Senior Engine Analyst, and Harry Breach, Director at Stifel, as they explore what the implications are for engines in Q3. Topics covered include: State of the market - utilisation and failures. OEM performance and aftermarket. Supply and demand of engines. Shop visit forecast. Value and lease rate performance. Distribution of the fleet. The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Stuart Hatcher Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

A close up view of an aircraft jet turbofan engine's fan blades

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Aviation Intelligence - Tracking Narrowbody Engine Recovery

We analysed utilisation trends for the four most prominent engine families in the narrowbody market to track market recovery.

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Aviation Intelligence - Demand for Engine Shop Visits Vital to Aviation Market Recovery

Whilst passenger demand is the key driver in the recovery of the aviation market as a whole, a core indication of health of the engine market is in shop visit demand. This can dictate value performance, lease demand, investor appetite and overall liquidity of the engine market.

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Rolls Royce Commits to 100% Sustainable Aviation Fuel Capability for Civil Aircraft Engines

Rolls-Royce are to test all its civil aircraft engines currently in production to ensure their compatibility with 100%-sustainable aviation fuel by 2023.

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Will Open Rotor Engines be the next great leap in Decarbonisation?

General Electric and Safran Group are to collaborate on development of a viable open rotor engine, 'RISE', destined to power narrowbody aircraft by the mid-2030's. The joint venture between the US and French aero engine giants intends to make workable a concept first touted in the 1970s. The open rotor engine dispenses with the traditional pod housing the fan blades seen on high bypass turbofan engines.

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Sandstorm Fails to Blow China's Post-Covid Recovery Off Course: But Aviation Manufacturers Must Develop Equipment More Resistant to Harsh Conditions

Denesz Thiyagarajan, Engine Analyst, IBA Advisory, uses InsightIQ intelligence to explore the potential impact of weather conditions in Northern China on Engine performance and utilisation.

飞机管理

活动18Oct

Airline Economics New York 2023

IBA's Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, and ISTAT Certified Senior Appraiser is pleased to be a panelist at Airline Economics New York 2023 conference.Stuart will be speaking on the Financing & investing in aircraft & engines at 09:40am on 18th October 2023. If you have any questions in the interim, please contact [email protected]

新闻与公共关系26Jul

IBA发布最新飞机市场情报报告（AMIR） “飞机订单激增，市场价值回升”

视频和音频

The Aviation Conversation The Challenges of Redelivering Aircraft

Welcome to the Aviation Conversation. In this edition, IBA's Phil Seymour, Peter Walter and Denis Brailsford take a deep dive into the challenges faced by both airlines and lessors when redelivering aircraft, and how both parties can prepare for lease ends.

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Could Saudi ambitions trigger a Middle East power play?

“My grandfather rode a camel. My father drove a car. I fly in jet planes. My son will drive a car. My grandson will ride a camel.” This contested quote relates to the desire to diversify away from an oil-export-dominant economy. Following Qatar and the UAE, it’s now a focus for Saudi Arabia. Aside from the emergence of Avilease last year with the announcement of a 12-aircraft SLB with flynas, the Saudi Public Investment Fund also launched Riyadh Air this week. This was closely followed by the $37Bn list price order for up to 121 x 787-9s to be split between the airline and Saudia. That’s a lot of capacity, and links closely with the Saudi vision to carry 330m passengers by the end of the decade (with close to a third visiting the country). Having spent much of my childhood in Riyadh and witnessing the speed of development, I have no doubt that they can succeed. Might this trigger a Middle Eastern power play whereby Emirates, Etihad and Qatar fight against the Saudi growth to destabilise the profitability for European and Asian carriers hoping to recapture market share? The combined carriers already have 465 passenger aircraft in active service, 95 parked or in storage, and 307 on backlog, I sense that, given their deep pockets, growth will proceed at any cost.

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3 Challenges faced when returning stored aircraft to service

As the world's widebodies return to the skies, we explore the key challenges of RTS processes, and specific implications for widebody aircraft.

A group of Russian S7 airlines Airbus A320 jet airliner aircraft with airbridge steps attached at an airport

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How many leased aircraft have returned from Russia?

How many leased aircraft have been recovered from Russia by aircraft leasing companies?

A Ural airlines Airbus A320 passenger jet on the ground at an airport with grass and sky in the background

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How many aircraft are being illegally re-registered by Russian airlines?

We take a look at how many aircraft have been re-registered in Russia to circumvent sanctions on Russian aviation.

网络研讨会02Mar 2022

Ukraine Crisis and the Impact on Global Aviation: Leading the Conversation

IBA's views on the unfolding conflict and the industry exposure. In response to the escalating emergency in Ukraine, IBA's team of experts and guest speakers will discuss and share thoughts on the evolving situation, the impact for industry stakeholders and practical guidance on how best to mitigate risk. Guest speakers George Ferguson, Senior Aerospace/Defense and Airline Analyst at Bloomberg, and Richard Moody will join IBA's Stuart Hatcher, Phil Seymour, Peter Walter and Geoff van Klaveren. Topics include: What is the market exposure across the industry? How could the crisis impact airlines, lessors and banks active in the sector? How could sanctions disrupt the normal financial flows - payments, debt issues, ABS's, and insurance What practical actions are available to the market to mitigate risk? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

网络研讨会14Dec 2021

Emerging trends and new challenges for redelivering aircraft in 2022

Join IBA's asset management and tech experts as they review and discuss new and emerging trends in aircraft and engine leasing redelivery. This session has been produced to provide airlines and lessors with guidance and examples of trends and best practice, the panel will discuss the following topics: What is the forecast for Lease End activity in 2022 and beyond and how does this impact airlines and lessors? To what extent has maintenance reserve claims and exposure increased? Are we seeing new redelivery challenges in the wake of the pandemic? How have transition trends changed? Documentation and Records - what is the future? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

新闻与公共关系08Jul

Aviation Recovery Slowly Gathering Momentum, But Substantial Fleet Remains Grounded

The recovery in air traffic is starting to gather momentum on both international and domestic routes, according to data revealed today by IBA at its half year Market Update.

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Can P2F Conversions fulfil the unprecedented demand for Global Air Cargo?

With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, airlines saw the majority (and in some cases all) of their passenger fleets grounded as various lockdowns came into force around world.

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Is the clock ticking for Power by the Hour deals?

The last year has, even for the aviation industry, been very unusual; traumatic, in fact, for some businesses. The number of high-profile insolvencies at a time of very low demand for aircraft has given rise to a situation where the usual recourse available to lessors, that is repossession of aircraft and then re-leasing or selling the asset, is not available. As IBA reported in October 2020, this environment has resulted in a substantial increase in the number of PBH arrangements being negotiated as an alternative to repossession by lessors and/or rejection or abandonment by airlines. Will the demand for PBH deals persist as the aviation market recovers?

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Airport Landing Slot Values; Heathrow Pre- and Post-Covid and the Battle for Airport Slots

Senior Aviation Analyst Youcef Berour Minarro investigates the airport slot market, the impact of Covid-19 at London Heathrow, and the outlook for future slot values. This paper has been prepared to give an overview and insight into the current airport slot market, with specific emphasis on LHR as one of the most traded airports in the world. This article will review the impact COVID has had on LHR and what the IATA slot waiver extensions mean for slot values. IBA are one of only a very few appraisers recognised for airport slot valuations having completed a variety of assignments at airports including London LHR, London Gatwick and New York JFK. In 2015, IBA was involved in Europe's first ever bond tied to airport slots where Virgin Atlantic Airways secured a £220 million secured note transaction using the airline's take-off and landing slots at London Heathrow Airport. The bond was used to invest in new Boeing 787-9 aircraft. The bond had a tenor of 15 years. The notes were split between two tranches: £190 million A1 notes and £30 million A2 notes. The A1 notes have a weighted average life of 12 years, while the A2 notes have a weighted average life of 10 years. This was the first time in European air travel history that airport slots have been leveraged in this way, claiming the Deal of the Year in 2016. In 2020 alone, IBA have been heavily involved in performing a range of valuations for various purposes including slots securitisations, balance sheet purposes and for disposal/acquisition of slots. Download the full report

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Managing Your Aircraft Asset in a Lockdown Situation

The traditional asset management practice of a financier or lessor performing an annual inspection of an aircraft and its records has been severely impaired since the pandemic took a grip of the World.

image of Norwegian airlines flying over snowy mountains

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What Will Transatlantic Flights Look Like Post-Recovery?

In mid-January 2021, Norwegian announced it will refocus its operations on European routes and cease long-haul operations as part of its plans to exit the insolvency court. Ever since it started servicing routes between Europe and the United States with its fleet of 32 Boeing 787s, the airline became known for offering customers the opportunity to travel on modern and fuel-efficient aircraft very cheaply.

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Power by the Hour Lease Rates

What are PBH lease rates and are they a good thing? The origins of PBH are from the 1960's when Rolls Royce leased engines by the hour to airlines. Aircraft leasing PBH has appeared before, more often for a short term if an airline was subject to seasonal fluctuations in traffic. Forward 60 years and PBH agreements are trending once again with more and more airlines seeking additional support from lessors. This short article looks at both the benefits and the shortcomings of the PBH revival.

网络研讨会17Sep 2020

IBA Webinar: How To Approach Transitions And The 737 MAX Return To Service In 2020

To help reduce the impact from limited resources, technical representation and access difficulties, IBA provide an unmissable webinar session that will offer our best practice advice on how to approach transitions in the current market conditions. 2020 has been an unprecedented year for the aviation industry. For the first time in history aircraft lease ends will exceed lease starts. High levels of lease ends, fleet exits, and the challenges of the global pandemic requires more planning and earlier engagement around transitions. Our senior Asset Management team share their unrivalled expertise on the following areas: Current market trends in fleet divestiture, aircraft supply and lease ends How to approach lease re-negotiations and current market rates Managing the 737 MAX return to service Working through redeliveries in 'the new norm' and reviewing best practice The impact on shop visit forecasts and MRO demand This session is a must for Financiers, Lessors and Airlines. The slide deck is available to download here. If you have further questions please get in touch via our contact form.

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准备让停放的飞机回归服务（RTS）

在过去7到8个月中，数以百计停放的飞机引起了人们关于长期停放和存储飞机的一波担忧。

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文章分析：准备迎接波音 737 MAX 的回归

16 个月之前，波音 737 MAX 的停飞对全球航空业产生了巨大影响。运营商，租赁商，机场，当然也包括波音公司自身都受到了停飞后所带来的冲击。许多与飞行机动特性增强系统（MCAS）相关的全新飞行控制软件现已被开发，使得重新进行试航认证变成了可能。我们预测在 2020 年的第四季度，对于 737 MAX 的停飞禁令会有一个决定性的结论。

新闻与公共关系04Aug

2020 MRO Spend Expected To Drop By More Than 50%

- Spend set to be less than half of US $90bn forecast -- Engine shop visits and spend taking the biggest hit -- Need for innovation and flexible maintenance programs has never been greater -- Lower cost options such as PMA expected to be in demand - 4th August, 2020: With MRO industry revenues directly related to aircraft utilisation, 2020's total MRO spend will be less than half of the approximately $90bn forecasted, according to the leading aviation data and advisory company IBA in its Changing Landscape of the Aftermarket Industry Webinar.

资产交还

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3 Challenges faced when returning stored aircraft to service

As the world's widebodies return to the skies, we explore the key challenges of RTS processes, and specific implications for widebody aircraft.

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How many leased aircraft have returned from Russia?

How many leased aircraft have been recovered from Russia by aircraft leasing companies?

网络研讨会02Mar 2022

Ukraine Crisis and the Impact on Global Aviation: Leading the Conversation

IBA's views on the unfolding conflict and the industry exposure. In response to the escalating emergency in Ukraine, IBA's team of experts and guest speakers will discuss and share thoughts on the evolving situation, the impact for industry stakeholders and practical guidance on how best to mitigate risk. Guest speakers George Ferguson, Senior Aerospace/Defense and Airline Analyst at Bloomberg, and Richard Moody will join IBA's Stuart Hatcher, Phil Seymour, Peter Walter and Geoff van Klaveren. Topics include: What is the market exposure across the industry? How could the crisis impact airlines, lessors and banks active in the sector? How could sanctions disrupt the normal financial flows - payments, debt issues, ABS's, and insurance What practical actions are available to the market to mitigate risk? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

网络研讨会16Jun 2021

IBA and NRF Masterclass: How to manage repossessions and remarket aircraft

IBA in association with Norton Rose Fulbright offered a free virtual masterclass reviewing best practise for managing lease re-negotiations, remarketing and repossessions. Phil Seymour, IBA's Company President and ISTAT Senior Appraiser Fellow, was joined by a panel of experts, including Robin Springthorpe, Partner at NRF, to share and provide insight and guidance to operators and the finance community. In this hour-long session, the panel discuss current trends for unscheduled returns and defaults, considerations when re-negotiating leases, best practise for remarketing aircraft and how to navigate both the legal requirements and the practical/pragmatic considerations. Key outputs include: Risk levels in the current climate Contingency planning Default and termination rights Notices and lease termination formalities Recovering assets, records and maintain asset value Avoiding unwanted repossession cost Remarketing opportunities Lease re-negotiations Lease clauses Lessons learnt from the pandemic The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Peter Walter Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

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What is the future for Stobart Air's ATR fleet?

Stobart Air ceased operations on Saturday 12th June 2021. A regional carrier operating flights across the UK and Ireland, the Stobart Air fleet consisted of 12 ATR72-600 aircraft and one ATR42-600 aircraft according to data from IBA's InsightIQ platform.

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3 Impacts of Covid-19 on Aircraft Repossession and Remarketing Timelines

IBA's Phil Seymour investigates 3 key impacts that Covid-19 has had on the speed and efficiency of aircraft repossession and remarketing. This information was taken from IBA's submission to the report 'Aircraft Repossession Planning - Practical Considerations' produced for Internal Comparative Legal Guides (ICLG) 2021.

网络研讨会18Jun 2020

IBA's Masterclass Webinar: Managing and Preparing for Defaults and Repossessions

In this hour long session, the panel offered guidance and advice to help financiers prepare for unscheduled returns and defaults, outlined how to secure aircraft and engines whilst maintaining asset value and how to navigate both the legal requirements and the practical/pragmatic considerations. Phil Seymour, IBA's Company President and ISTAT Senior Appraiser Fellow, and Oliver Hipperson, Partner at Clifford Chance, were joined by a panel of experts to share and provide insight, best practise and guidance to the finance community on managing unscheduled early redeliveries. The slide deck is available to download here. If you have further questions please contact: Peter Walter

image of 2 men with paperwork walking away from an aeroplane

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The Technical Records Of Your Assets: How Would You Fare In A Friendly Hand Back Or Repossession Situation?

A complete and concise set of service records, properly identifying all required maintenance and modification events, is the indication of an aircraft's condition and the quality of its continuing airworthiness management. It clearly demonstrates the aircraft's compliance with all appropriate safety and lease requirements and its suitability for flight. Service records are essential if the aircraft is to be sold at its maintenance adjusted value or placed on lease with a new lessee.

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Covid-19 Drives Aircraft Oversupply And Reductions In Airline Fleet Sizes, May 2020

As many of you will know, the effects of Covid-19 are going to change the size and makeup of airline fleets, and do so quickly. In the next 20 months, it's possible that many older aircraft types could be universally withdrawn from service, along with significant numbers of older variants of current generation aircraft including the Boeing 777, A330 and A380. IBA, the leading aviation consultancy, estimate there will be an aircraft oversupply of up to 2,500 narrow and widebody aircraft in the market, with global demand, once the current restrictions are lifted, possibly declining by 20% by the end of 2021.

image from the underneath of a plane at an airport

网络研讨会19Mar 2020

IBA's Webinar - Maintaining and Protecting Asset Values, March 2020

IBA's Asset Management and Technical team share some best practice, and provide guidance that can help to protect aircraft and engine values and ensure that early or unscheduled redeliveries are carefully managed. In the current climate this session is a must for financiers and leasing companies looking to further mitigate investment risk and preserve asset values. Following further restrictions on travel, airlines across the globe are cutting capacity, reducing utilisation and parking aircraft, as well as laying off staff in a bid to reduce costs and weather the repercussions of Covid-19. IBA's Asset Management and Technical team share some best practice, and provide guidance that can help to protect aircraft and engine values and ensure that early or unscheduled redeliveries are carefully managed. In this short and punchy 'how to' session, Phil Seymour, IBA's President, and Ross Armour, IBA's Technical Manager, share best practice, flag watch outs and share war stories. The slide deck is also available to download. If you have further questions, please contact: Phil Seymour

image of the underside of an aircraft at an airport

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IBA's Redelivery Whitepaper: The Picture in 2018

IBA recently updated its analysis around overspend in relation to redeliveries. As the infographic on page 9 highlights, overspends have increased since 2016, with engine costs being the key driver.

资产转换

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3 Challenges faced when returning stored aircraft to service

As the world's widebodies return to the skies, we explore the key challenges of RTS processes, and specific implications for widebody aircraft.

网络研讨会14Dec 2021

Emerging trends and new challenges for redelivering aircraft in 2022

Join IBA's asset management and tech experts as they review and discuss new and emerging trends in aircraft and engine leasing redelivery. This session has been produced to provide airlines and lessors with guidance and examples of trends and best practice, the panel will discuss the following topics: What is the forecast for Lease End activity in 2022 and beyond and how does this impact airlines and lessors? To what extent has maintenance reserve claims and exposure increased? Are we seeing new redelivery challenges in the wake of the pandemic? How have transition trends changed? Documentation and Records - what is the future? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour. Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

A view of a narrowbody aircraft cabin, featuring aircraft seats and passengers

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Narrowbody Aircraft Reconfiguration Trends

我们通过比对波音737-800和空客A320这两款窄体客机，来一探窄体客机客舱的变化趋势

An interiorview of a widebody aircraft cabin, with rows of aircraft seats and in flight entertainment screens

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Widebody Aircraft Reconfiguration Trends

我们在调查宽体客机的客舱布局变化的过程中，摸索出空客和波音常用机型的重要发展趋势。

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Is the clock ticking for Power by the Hour deals?

The last year has, even for the aviation industry, been very unusual; traumatic, in fact, for some businesses. The number of high-profile insolvencies at a time of very low demand for aircraft has given rise to a situation where the usual recourse available to lessors, that is repossession of aircraft and then re-leasing or selling the asset, is not available. As IBA reported in October 2020, this environment has resulted in a substantial increase in the number of PBH arrangements being negotiated as an alternative to repossession by lessors and/or rejection or abandonment by airlines. Will the demand for PBH deals persist as the aviation market recovers?

网络研讨会17Sep 2020

IBA Webinar: How To Approach Transitions And The 737 MAX Return To Service In 2020

To help reduce the impact from limited resources, technical representation and access difficulties, IBA provide an unmissable webinar session that will offer our best practice advice on how to approach transitions in the current market conditions. 2020 has been an unprecedented year for the aviation industry. For the first time in history aircraft lease ends will exceed lease starts. High levels of lease ends, fleet exits, and the challenges of the global pandemic requires more planning and earlier engagement around transitions. Our senior Asset Management team share their unrivalled expertise on the following areas: Current market trends in fleet divestiture, aircraft supply and lease ends How to approach lease re-negotiations and current market rates Managing the 737 MAX return to service Working through redeliveries in 'the new norm' and reviewing best practice The impact on shop visit forecasts and MRO demand This session is a must for Financiers, Lessors and Airlines. The slide deck is available to download here. If you have further questions please get in touch via our contact form.

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Economic Crises and Average Aircraft Downtime Between Lease End Events and Placements; Can the Industry Maintain Downtime's Falling Trend During and After Covid-19?

In recent years, the number of aircraft involved in lease end transactions has been increasing in line with growth of the global aircraft fleet. The volume of aircraft connected with operator failures has also risen over the last couple of years.

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Covid-19 Drives Aircraft Oversupply And Reductions In Airline Fleet Sizes, May 2020

As many of you will know, the effects of Covid-19 are going to change the size and makeup of airline fleets, and do so quickly. In the next 20 months, it's possible that many older aircraft types could be universally withdrawn from service, along with significant numbers of older variants of current generation aircraft including the Boeing 777, A330 and A380. IBA, the leading aviation consultancy, estimate there will be an aircraft oversupply of up to 2,500 narrow and widebody aircraft in the market, with global demand, once the current restrictions are lifted, possibly declining by 20% by the end of 2021.

image from inside an aeroplane, from the back looking forward

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Aircraft Interiors During Lease Return: The Inside Story, February 2020

Why were commercial passenger aircraft ever invented, built, bought and sold or operated? The clue's in the name: the passenger. Many if not most travellers spare scant thought to the feats of engineering behind an aircraft's take-off and landing, not to mention keeping it airborne in between. What they will notice and expect when flying, however, is how the aircraft looks inside and whether it is clean, tidy and comfortable. So, having interiors in the best condition throughout the life of an aircraft is paramount for most operators.

image of an aeroplane flying through the sky

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Revisiting Redeliveries in 2019

Poorly managed redeliveries are a staggering waste of money. Every narrowbody and widebody whose redelivery is inefficiently handled can cost $USD 2 million and $USD 4.5 million respectively. Putting that into context, the unnecessary expenditure would be enough to fund six to eight months' lease rental for each aircraft, a Heavy C Check, or even an engine shop visit.

image of a man inspecting the underside of a small aircraft

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Why Regular Inspections Are A Good Idea, October 2018

As you would expect, aircraft and engines that are well looked after, maintained and inspected regularly will inherently hold their value more than those that are less well managed. To protect and maximise the value of an aircraft or engine, inspections are an essential element of asset management. A thorough inspection should always include an examination of the metal and its associated technical records, since it is the combination of the physical condition and historical records that create the overall value.

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IBA's Redelivery Whitepaper: The Picture in 2018

IBA recently updated its analysis around overspend in relation to redeliveries. As the infographic on page 9 highlights, overspends have increased since 2016, with engine costs being the key driver.

image of a man building an aircraft engine

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How do OEM Engine Maintenance Contracts Affect the Ability to Remarket Aircraft? September 2017

Aviation commentators have often remarked on the increasing presence of OEMs in the engine aftermarket. This is especially the case when it comes to engine maintenance, and the declining independent MRO solutions available. OEM maintenance contracts offer maintenance stability for operators, but can the widespread adoption of these affect resale values or leasing demands? Charlotte Daniels provides an assessment.

直升机

新闻与公共关系29Jun

IBA预测，直升机市场前景一片光明

在本周举办的网络研讨会上，行业领先的航空市场情报和咨询公司IBA概述了直升机市场的乐观前景。 IBA专家小组指出，目前航空市场存在关键积极因素，包括直升机租赁需求的持续增长、供应链压力的缓解、EMS（紧急医疗服务）及海上风电场等领域的增长潜力，以及超级中型直升机品类的成功引进和稳健发展。纵览整个航空市场，IBA列出的可处理价值超过550亿美元，目前全球有超过22,000架“西方制造”涡轮直升机。近年来，相似机型的年平均交付量约为500架，而2022年则较为特殊，供应链问题导致当年交付量不足500架。IBA预测，相关机型的交付量将于2023年恢复到475—525架。欧洲和北美洲租赁渗透率位列世界之首，亚洲和南美洲排名紧随其后，Leonardo AW139 和 Sikorsky S-92A在租赁市场遥遥领先，风头无两。轻型直升机市场成为最大的细分市场，此类机型仍然在急救（EMS）、公用事业和短程运输任务中发挥核心作用。在此类机型中，空客 H125、空客 H145以及Bell 407最受欢迎，前五年的年平均交付量为350架。IBA预计，2023年轻型直升机交付量将多达360架。到2023年中期，中型直升机机队将扩大到约3800架，用于各种用途，其中包括急救（EMS）、搜救（SAR）以及海上作业。其中最受欢迎的机型是Leonardo AW139，Leonardo AW169，Bell 412和空客 H155。IBA预测，其交付量将在2023年大幅增加，相比于2022年的55架，直升机将交付多达75架。对于以分别于2013年及2014年发布的Leonardo AW189和空客 H175为主的新型超级中型直升机机型，鉴于其无与伦比的运营性价比，许多人将其视为现役重型直升机的绝佳替代方案。IBA预计，2023年，此类机型交付量将多达10架。目前，空客 H225 和Sikorsky S-92系列正强势占据重型直升机的主导地位。自2016年以来，此类直升机的交付率持续低迷，然而，由于油价上涨和海上活动水平提高的驱动，其二手市场正在显著复苏。然而，此类直升机的交付率仍然增速迟缓，IBA估计，2023年的交付率将停滞在4架。 IBA预测，许多关键直升机运营部门将迎来蓬勃发展，其中，最为瞩目的当属急救板块，估计在未来十年内，急救的市场份额将从14%增长到19%。随着海上风电场强势增长的大力推动，海上作业将迎来蓬勃发展，其市场份额预计将从4%增长至7%，而消防作业将从2%增长至3%。各类直升机的价值在疫情之后都有所恢复，但重型直升机则稍显落后。轻型、中型和超级中型直升机的市场价值分别为基础值的115%、111%和106%，IBA预测所有直升机类别的价值在2023年和2024年得到进一步增长。然而，重型直升机的市场价值目前维持在基础价值的80%，前景不甚明朗。直升机的租赁价格也出现显著回升，而各类机型的对应增长趋势与其市场价值趋势基本持平。目前，轻型直升机的租赁价格为2019年水平的112%，中型和超中型皆为110%，而且根据IBA的预测，2023年和2024年还会出现进一步增长。与其晦暗的价值前景相似，重型直升机的近期租赁价格仍然前途未卜，油价变动将成为影响其价格变动的关键因素。只有石油价格维持在目前水平或出现新的增长，重型直升机租赁价格的前景才能保持乐观。 -结束- 关于IBA IBA 提供世界顶尖的航空咨询专业分析，以及最前沿和易执行的数据洞见，所有这些分析和洞见都来源于一支以客户为中心且经验丰富的专家团队。作为一家独立、创新且富有前瞻性的企业，IBA 在航空领域拥有 35 余年的资历和经验。IBA连续五年被客户评为“年度评估机构”，最近又凭借碳排放计算器连续斩获“可持续技术大奖”。对于诚信、独立和持续创新的企业精神，IBA深以为荣。 IBA 的成功离不开每一位IBA人的全力投入——他们分布全球各地，是一支行业顶尖，实打实的专家团队，对航空业充满热情，并一直在加倍努力，以求为客户提供更好的服务。如需更多信息，请访问 www.iba.aero IBA媒体联系人 Charlie Hampton/Faye Clarke 电子邮箱：[email protected] / [email protected] 电话: +44 (0)7884 187297

网络研讨会29Jun 2023

IBA Insight: How are helicopter values performing?

IBA’s Mike Yeomans and Rami Abdel Aziz gave a comprehensive overview of the helicopter market and the latest insights on value performance and trends. Click here to watch on demand

网络研讨会06Dec 2022

Ask the Appraiser: How are Helicopter Values Performing?

IBA presents: Ask the Appraiser. Our series of regular short webinars, designed to deliver you vital updates on how values are performing across the different aviation asset classes. In the final session of the series, join Phil Seymour and Rami Abdel Aziz for an overview of the helicopter market. Watch the recording

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Aviation Intelligence - India's First Gift City Leasing Company

Vman aviation services have launched in India. Read our analysis of the first aircraft leasing company in the 'Gift City'.

网络研讨会19Oct 2020

IBA's Helicopter Market Update, October 2020

Our helicopter team are regularly being asked challenging questions about the helicopter market and the impact of Covid-19. In this short market review, Alastair Fallon (IBA's Helicopter Aviation Analyst) shares our latest insight on: • The composition of the global commercial helicopter fleet - leased Vs owned • Helicopter deliveries - actual and forecast • Helicopter deployment • Current Market Values for a selection of key helicopter types • Future developments The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please contact: Alastair Fallon

Image of a Helicopter flying at an angle

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How is Covid-19 Impacting the Helicopter Market Worldwide? June 2020

IBA's Alastair Fallon, Helicopter Aviation Analyst, joined the Helicopter Investor Town Hall Forum on Tuesday 9th June. Within the 60-minute session, the panel of industry experts assessed the health of the helicopter market and discussed how Covid-19 is affecting the different heli markets worldwide.

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Will Covid-19 and Oil Price Cuts Send the Helicopter Market into a Spin?

The WHO has declared the spread of Coronavirus (Covid-19) a global pandemic and we are all bearing the brunt of an information overload from multiple sources via the media advising us how to live, work and travel. BA today announced it will cancel 75% of its flights with Easyjet grounding 100 of its 344 aircraft across Europe. Scheduled and charter fixed wing passenger flights the world over cannot operate.

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How Will the Helicopter Market Evolve In 2019?

With the current levels of turmoil and change in the helicopter sector, IBA is regularly being asked challenging questions about the future of the market. Owen Geach, IBA's Chief Commercial Ofﬁcer takes a look at the future of leasing in the helicopter market.

公务机

活动18Oct

Airline Economics New York 2023

IBA's Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, and ISTAT Certified Senior Appraiser is pleased to be a panelist at Airline Economics New York 2023 conference.Stuart will be speaking on the Financing & investing in aircraft & engines at 09:40am on 18th October 2023. If you have any questions in the interim, please contact [email protected]

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IBA's Business Jet Market Report January 2022

The global business jet fleet numbers almost 23,000 operational aircraft. With the abnormalities seen in business aircraft supply and demand since the start of the Coronavirus pandemic having a significant effect on the market, IBA's Business Jet report shine a light on current market trends in business aircraft. Some key takeaways include: Though slow and cautious at the start of the pandemic, the Bizjet market has proven resilient andprosperous whilst wider commercial aviation has suffered There is high demand for business jets, and we find ourselves in a fast-paced environment in 2022 This high demand, coupled with low supply, has led to a seller's market Inflated Bizjet values are likely to return to normal as commercial aviation continues to recover ESG targets are likely to prove a key challenge to the market over the coming years Download the full report

租金价格

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New generation widebody lease rates are rising

New generation widebody lease rates are rising with some lag and more subdued value gains, according to data revealed by Phil Seymour,  Mike Yeomans, and Jonathan McDonald in our recent webinar. The latest trends in new generation widebody aircraft values and lease rates. Source: IBA Insight. The Airbus A350-900 was at US$925,000 per-month in January 2021 with an increase to US$954,000 per-month in January 2023. We predict this will have risen to US$1,007,000 per-month by July 2023.   Base value movements are more varied for new generation widebody aircraft. The Boeing 7879, 787-10, Airbus A350-900 and A350-1000 continue to grow, whereas the 787-8 and A330-900 fell between 2019 and 2022 (but stabilised into 2023). The latest mid-life widebody aircraft value and lease rate trends. Source: IBA Insight The base value decline for mid-life widebody aircraft has eased with the prospect of some market value recovery through the first half of 2023. A 12-year-old A330-300 was valued at US$20.04 million in 2022, and is predicted to drop to US$19.967 million in 2023. Some mid-life widebody lease rates are increasing, with a 12-year-old B777-300ER sitting at US$314,000 per-month in October 2022 and predicted to rise to US$350,000 per-month by July 2023.  Don’t miss our latest webinars Stay tuned for our forthcoming webinars covering new and existing asset classes. In the coming months we be taking a deep dive into value trends for Engines, EVTOLs, business jets, helicopters, and freighters. Follow us on LinkedIn for updates on our next webinar.  Discover our market-leading aircraft valuations services IBA has one of the largest teams of certified senior appraisers in the industry. We provide independent advice on wide-ranging, complex asset valuation requirements. From strategic fleet selection, transaction due diligence, portfolio appraisal, and operational decision-making through to annual portfolio and financial compliance monitoring, we'll have you covered! IBA is proud to be the Appointed Appraiser for COMAC ARJ21 Programme.  Find out more about IBA Valuations

网络研讨会13Jan 2023

IBA's Market Update Webinar January 2023

Join IBA for an update on current and future trends across the global aviation industry.

网络研讨会12Sep 2022

IBA's Webinar: What does the future hold for Aviation in the Americas?

What's the outlook for Aviation in the Americas? Join IBA, the 2022 Appraiser of the Year, for the latest update on current and future trends and activity across the American aviation industry.Listen in to our panel of experts; Dr. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist, Mike Yeomans, Director – Valuations and Consulting, and Jack Ambrose, Regional Sales Manager (Americas) as they uncover, review and discuss key trends across aviation finance. This session was specifically designed to provide valuable insight that will support the aviation community in the Americas to identify market opportunities, structure deals, and mitigate risk within the current market. Topics include: Macro-economic update – inflation, interest rates, currency, oil price & airline failures Airline activity – US, South American, and Canadian Airlines performance OEM activity – latest on orders Valuation trends & trading activity – Asset performance in 2022 and beyond The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Jack Ambrose. Discover what makes IBA Insight the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

网络研讨会22Jul 2022

IBA's Mid-Year Market Update Webinar

Join IBA, the 2022 Appraiser of the Year, for an update on current and future trends across the global aviation industry.Listen in to our panel of experts; Phil Seymour, Geoff van Klaveren, Mike Yeomans and Dan Taylor as they uncover, review and discuss trends across aviation finance. This essential update will enrich your understanding of key market indicators and trends as our experts share their insight and opinion on what to expect for the remainder of 2022 and beyond. Topics include: Macro-economic update – how are the changes in inflation, interest rates, currency, and oil price impacting the aviation community? Capacity – what demand are we seeing for PAX and cargo? Asset values – how are aircraft values and lease rates performing? Aircraft deliveries and trading activity – what are the latest trends? Airline profitability – what is the outlook for the remainder of 2022 and beyond? The slide deck is available to download here. To watch the webinar on demand, click here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Geoff van Klaveren. Discover what makes IBA Insight the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

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Is the clock ticking for Power by the Hour deals?

The last year has, even for the aviation industry, been very unusual; traumatic, in fact, for some businesses. The number of high-profile insolvencies at a time of very low demand for aircraft has given rise to a situation where the usual recourse available to lessors, that is repossession of aircraft and then re-leasing or selling the asset, is not available. As IBA reported in October 2020, this environment has resulted in a substantial increase in the number of PBH arrangements being negotiated as an alternative to repossession by lessors and/or rejection or abandonment by airlines. Will the demand for PBH deals persist as the aviation market recovers?

新闻与公共关系12Feb

IBA Sees Least Dilution In New Gen Aircraft Values With A320neo Outpacing 737 Max

New generation widebody and narrowbody aircraft have seen only modest declines in their market values despite the enormous challenges of Covid-19, according to leading aviation industry consultant IBA.

新闻与公共关系02Nov

Aviation Shifting From Initial Covid Impact To Longer Term Survival Strategies, Says IBA

- Airlines remain loss-making, but some quarter on quarter improvements - - Fleet exits continuing, but younger aircraft value drops limited - - Modest recovery in some domestic markets, but load factors low - - OEM production rates constrained, with MAX return set to shift market dynamics -

新闻与公共关系02Nov

IBA发布新航空信息平台InsightIQ

2020年11月2日：世界领先的航空数据和咨询公司IBA宣布推出其新的一站式航空信息平台InsightIQ。该平台结合了速度，准确性，可视化分析和直观导航，可从深度的集成航空数据中为客户提供专业的市场见解。

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Power by the Hour Lease Rates

What are PBH lease rates and are they a good thing? The origins of PBH are from the 1960's when Rolls Royce leased engines by the hour to airlines. Aircraft leasing PBH has appeared before, more often for a short term if an airline was subject to seasonal fluctuations in traffic. Forward 60 years and PBH agreements are trending once again with more and more airlines seeking additional support from lessors. This short article looks at both the benefits and the shortcomings of the PBH revival.

新闻与公共关系16Oct

IBA集团被中国商用飞机有限责任公司任命为ARJ21项目的评估公司

2020, 10, 16:中国商用飞机有限责任公司任命IBA集团为ARJ21项目的评估公司

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新闻与公共关系18Sep

Over 1,000 Aircraft Set To Return To Lessors In 2021 Without New Homes Says IBA

- Incident-free return to service crucial for 750+ MAXs currently on ground - 18th September, 2020: The commercial aircraft leasing market is set for considerable turmoil in 2021 with over 1,000 aircraft set to be returned to lessors without clear options for onward placement.

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737 MAX租金率前景低迷

虽然737 MAX的售后回租率在短期内有望增强，但未来的直接租赁率却显得黯淡。早在2018年代中期，出租人就遇到了难以安置MAX的麻烦，而依靠评级较差的航空公司以越来越低的利率进行安置。到2018年底，费率已低至$ 270,000-$ 280,000，而在2019破晓之前，甚至在其停飞之前，许多出租人和运营商就质疑MAX的价值与其737-800同类产品的相对吸引力。

新闻与公共关系28May

IBA Highlights Resilience of Regional Jet and Turboprop Aircraft Values but Performance Variation Due to Secondary Market Supply

29th May, 2020: IBA, the leading independent aviation consultancy, is optimistic about the resilience of regional jet and turboprop aircraft values, but expects value and lease performance to vary based on secondary market supply for specific models.

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网络研讨会25May 2020

IBA Webinar: Covid-19 - Regional and Turboprop Aircraft Values

The panel shared their opinion on likely market performance in the near and long term, identified which asset types are more vulnerable and flagged those that are more resilient to current conditions. Our senior ISTAT appraiser team reviewed the impact from Covid-19 on future asset performance for specific Regional and Turboprop aircraft.Session highlights included reviewing market supply and demand, fleet plans, scope clauses plus values and lease rate guidance for aircraft and engines. The session also allowed for 20 minutes of Q&A, enabling our audience to put their burning questions to the panel. The slide deck is available to download here. If you have further questions please contact: Mike Yeomans or David Archer

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Historical Lease Rate Performance - 777-300ER. January 2020.

As production draws to a close and the line moves over to the 777X, IBA's award winning appraisal team looks at the long term Lease Rate Performance for the 777-300ER. As of 30th January 2020, IBA's data intelligence platform IBA.iQ shows the 777-300ER fleet with 800 active aircraft, 18 parked/stored/damaged and 37 on backlog with zero part-outs.

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IBA's Lease Rate Analysis - A330-300. December 2019

The widebody leasing market is less fluid than that for narrowbodies and is heavily controlled by sale leasebacks for new deliveries. The market started its recovery from a post 9/11 slump in 2003 and this resurgence was affected by the global financial crisis only slightly. Since 2015, however, excess capacity has exerted immense pressure on rates in the market. Bankruptcies, fleet management decisions and lease ends, particularly young lease ends, have each played a part.

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Historical Lease Rate Performance - A320ceo v 737-800. December 2019

Historically, new delivery market lease rates have correlated well with 5-year swap rates, usually with a 6 to12-month lag. However, recent IBA research revealed that, despite rate increases since 2016, market lease rates have in contrast declined. We examined lease performances of the A320ceo and 737-800 both when new and at 10 years and summarise our key findings as follows:

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How Low Will A330 Lease Rates Go?

The A330ceo is now in its replacement phase. Secondary market availability and storage are relatively high and the A330-200 in particular has been in oversupply for some time. Powered by IBA.iQ, our advisory teams have seen lease rates soften in recent years. The wave of pre-GFC delivered aircraft have returned from their initial leases which has put downward pressure on rentals in the market.

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What to Look for When Valuing an Engine, March 2018

Determining the value of an engine at different phases of its life-cycle requires consideration of a variety of factors, particularly engine maintenance value and engine core value. Depending on the phase of the engine's life, options to the owner include repair or overhaul to put value back into the asset; or, alternatively, green-time sale, tear-down and part-out of used serviceable material in order to extract remaining value from the engine. Maintenance value accounts for the value of life-limited parts (LLPs) and the value associated with the on-wing time before requiring a performance restoration.

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IBA's Redelivery Whitepaper: The Picture in 2018

IBA recently updated its analysis around overspend in relation to redeliveries. As the infographic on page 9 highlights, overspends have increased since 2016, with engine costs being the key driver.

航司信用

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Aviation Intelligence - Does a Global Crisis Drive Airline Start-ups?

While it is becoming clear that the post-pandemic market is providing an opportunity, are global crises in general a breeding ground for brave and bold start-ups?

A man behind a screen of data, reaching to touch a plane

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What is the Future of Korean Aviation Post Covid and is There the Potential of a Monopoly Mega Airline?

2021 started weakly for the Korean aviation market, revenue passenger kilometres (RPKs) in January were 72% lower than the same month in 2019 according to IATA and our own InsightIQ Flights analysis. In this detailed report, Finlay Grogan, IBA airlines analyst, uses InsightIQ data to research and evaluate Korean airline performance, including financial reviews, fleet structures, utilisation levels, carbon emissions and future performance and consolidations.

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持续的旅行限制将如何影响维兹航空航班计划的表现？

最近几周，第二波新冠疫情猛烈反扑，航空公司的运营计划再度受挫，西欧多国启动了今年的第二次封锁。在这篇短文中，我们将利用 IBA 强大的全新智能数据平台 InsightIQ 的航班数据来查看维兹航空（英国和匈牙利）对其已发布航班计划的完成度。

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Failure Rates For Airlines Has Remained Flat To The End Of October But What Does The Future Hold?

Using InsightIQ's analytics, in this analysis we have focused on airlines with aircraft having more than 25 seats and the primary concern is with fixed costs. A combination of cash reserves, payment holidays and government aid is being used for survival. Inevitably, as the crisis persists, the ability to repay debt becomes more remote.

新闻与公共关系02Nov

Aviation Shifting From Initial Covid Impact To Longer Term Survival Strategies, Says IBA

- Airlines remain loss-making, but some quarter on quarter improvements - - Fleet exits continuing, but younger aircraft value drops limited - - Modest recovery in some domestic markets, but load factors low - - OEM production rates constrained, with MAX return set to shift market dynamics -

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Will Government Support Stave Off Second Wave Operator Casualties?

Using IBA's Operator Score for a sample of operators, we spotlight COVID-19's influence on the aviation industry and analyse government support for airlines as a proportion of their net profit, comprehensive margin and cash position. Below, IBA shares its opinion on government intervention to help airlines overcome the risks associated with COVID-19's downturn.

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Q3 of 2020 Will Bring More Airline Failures Once Lifelines and Cash Reserves are Depleted

Using data from IBA.iQ, the chart below illustrates the impact of the current crisis on airline failure rates. For 2020, failures have intensified and survival of the fittest now depends on factors such as cash reserves, payment holidays and government aid until such time as the market re-opens and passenger demand returns.

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IBA's Operator Risk Assessment - Aerolineas Argentinas December 2019

Full visibility of an asset's performance and value is essential in order to maximise returns. Oversupply, residual concerns and high fuel prices are all contributing to a more fluid picture than in recent years, making asset selection more critical.

新冠疫情

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3 Challenges faced when returning stored aircraft to service

As the world's widebodies return to the skies, we explore the key challenges of RTS processes, and specific implications for widebody aircraft.

An image showing a yellow Spirit Airlines Airbus A320neo aircraft on the ground at an airport

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Low cost airline capacity to grow past pre-Covid levels in 2022

IBA has forecasted a sharp recovery in capacity and demand in our recent commercial aviation market update.

网络研讨会29Jul 2021

Tracking the global recovery - Narrowbody and Widebody values update

What is the trajectory of commercial aircraft values around the world? In our upcoming webinar, our experts will be sharing their views plus the latest market intelligence from InsightIQ on the speed of recovery, future value performance and what the implications are for aviation finance globally. Listen in to our panel of experts; Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations and Phil Seymour, Company President, as they uncover, review and discuss global trends across aviation finance. Using intelligence from InsightIQ, topics covered include: Regional Recovery Commercial Aircraft: How will aircraft values and lease rates move across narrrowbody and widebody aircraft? What are the driving forces behind future market movements? How and why have different ages and generations of aircraft been affected differently? What is IBA's opinion on what might happen for Q3/4 2021? The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

网络研讨会09Jul 2021

IBA's Aviation Market Update - July 2021

The start of the aviation recovery is proving to be inconsistent. Some markets are being constrained by a combination of new virus variants, continued local restrictions, infection rates and the varying pace of vaccine rollouts, whilst other regions are experiencing solid levels of domestic traffic recovery. Join IBA, the 2021 Appraiser of the Year, for an update on current and future market trends across the globe. Listen in to our panel of experts; Stuart Hatcher, Chief Revenue Officer, Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations and Phil Seymour, Company President, as they uncover, review and discuss global trends across aviation finance. Using intelligence from InsightIQ, topics covered include: How fast are markets recovering? How are OEMs performing and are we seeing order swaps? What are the latest transactions trends? What are the lease expiry dates forecasting? How are aircraft values and lease rates performing? The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Phil Seymour Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

新闻与公共关系08Jul

Aviation Recovery Slowly Gathering Momentum, But Substantial Fleet Remains Grounded

The recovery in air traffic is starting to gather momentum on both international and domestic routes, according to data revealed today by IBA at its half year Market Update.

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Airline Industry Analysis: The Impact of Oil Prices & Coronavirus

The historic correlation between high oil prices and airline failures is a proven trend. Combined with Coronavirus, they represent a clear and present danger to airlines.

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Aviation Trends: Booking Spike Shows High Demand For Travel

Data from IBA's InsightIQ platform has revealed strong regional variations in flight data and recovery of load factors.

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3 Impacts of Covid-19 on Aircraft Repossession and Remarketing Timelines

IBA's Phil Seymour investigates 3 key impacts that Covid-19 has had on the speed and efficiency of aircraft repossession and remarketing. This information was taken from IBA's submission to the report 'Aircraft Repossession Planning - Practical Considerations' produced for Internal Comparative Legal Guides (ICLG) 2021.

网络研讨会26May 2021

IBA & KPMG's Webinar: State of the Industry Debate; Will the Northern Hemisphere be clear for take off this summer?

IBA in partnership with KPMG, join forces to explore key market indicators for the aviation industry. Together, the panel discuss global market performance and the outlook for the coming months. Will the traditionally busy Northern Hemisphere summer deliver for the industry? Using InsightIQ aviation intelligence, join Phil Seymour, Mike Yeomans from IBA, and Kieran O'Brien from KPMG, as they discuss the following questions: What are the current key industry trends across regions? Will we see more consolidation in the leasing space? What is the outlook for airlines in the next 6 month? Will the "new" ABS structures improve credit risk and cash retention? Are asset values stabilising? Is the industry preparing for tighter ESG within aviation? The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: Mike Yeomans Discover what makes InsightIQ the leading aviation intelligence platform. Book a demo

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Sandstorm Fails to Blow China's Post-Covid Recovery Off Course: But Aviation Manufacturers Must Develop Equipment More Resistant to Harsh Conditions

Denesz Thiyagarajan, Engine Analyst, IBA Advisory, uses InsightIQ intelligence to explore the potential impact of weather conditions in Northern China on Engine performance and utilisation.

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Airport Landing Slot Values; Heathrow Pre- and Post-Covid and the Battle for Airport Slots

Senior Aviation Analyst Youcef Berour Minarro investigates the airport slot market, the impact of Covid-19 at London Heathrow, and the outlook for future slot values. This paper has been prepared to give an overview and insight into the current airport slot market, with specific emphasis on LHR as one of the most traded airports in the world. This article will review the impact COVID has had on LHR and what the IATA slot waiver extensions mean for slot values. IBA are one of only a very few appraisers recognised for airport slot valuations having completed a variety of assignments at airports including London LHR, London Gatwick and New York JFK. In 2015, IBA was involved in Europe's first ever bond tied to airport slots where Virgin Atlantic Airways secured a £220 million secured note transaction using the airline's take-off and landing slots at London Heathrow Airport. The bond was used to invest in new Boeing 787-9 aircraft. The bond had a tenor of 15 years. The notes were split between two tranches: £190 million A1 notes and £30 million A2 notes. The A1 notes have a weighted average life of 12 years, while the A2 notes have a weighted average life of 10 years. This was the first time in European air travel history that airport slots have been leveraged in this way, claiming the Deal of the Year in 2016. In 2020 alone, IBA have been heavily involved in performing a range of valuations for various purposes including slots securitisations, balance sheet purposes and for disposal/acquisition of slots. Download the full report

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The Evolving Structure of Japan's Aviation Market

Lewis Leslie, Senior Aviation Analyst, IBA Advisory, uses InsightIQ Fleets and Values intelligence to explore the structure of the Japanese aviation market. Executive Summary 19% of the Japanese in-service aircraft fleet remains either parked or stored. Aircraft utilisation by Japanese airlines has not yet recovered to pre-Covid levels, in line with global utilisation trends. However, the Japanese aviation market is robust and well-placed for growth opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region in coming years. Large scale fleet renewal is expected within the next 10 years, but the rate of replacement is uncertain due to delays to the Boeing 737 MAX. Sale and Leasebacks accounted for the majority of secondary market transactions in 2020 through to March 2021, with nine recorded. The volume of JOLCO transactions fell last year but is expected to recover as demand for new aircraft returns.

Image of plane tracking data on a world map

新闻与公共关系29Apr

IBA Outlines Global Aviation Trends To Japanese Investment Community

IBA, the leading aviation data and advisory consultancy, has delivered a presentation on the key trends impacting the global aviation sector to the Japanese investment community.

网络研讨会27Apr 2021

IBA's Aviation Market Update Webinar - Japan

IBA, the 2021 Appraiser of the Year, provide an overview of the Japanese aviation market. In this session IBA discuss trends across aviation finance in Japan and Asia Pac. Using analysis from InsightIQ, join Stuart Hatcher, Chief Revenue Officer, Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations and John Duley, Business Development Manager - Asia, as they discuss the following topics: Aircraft value performance The changing face of Airline Fleets Possible Airline Failures OEM activity What are the changing trends in Retirements? Transactional Activity - Trading Sales and Capital Activity The slide deck is available to download here. If you have any further questions, comments or feedback please get in touch: John Duley

视频和音频

新冠疫情所导致的困境与之前的经济危机相比如何，我们该做何展望？

全球新冠疫情的影响是空前的，特别是航空业，其影响涉及到方方面面。与之前的经济危机相比，此次危机的情况如何，我们又该做何展望？ IBA的高级航空分析师周杰利用InsightIQ的机队、价值和趋势数据，将新冠对航空业产生的影响与之前的数次经济危机（包括9/11、SARS危机和全球金融危机）进行了比较，并探讨了市场的恢复预期以及在危机中所存在的机遇。主题包括：疫情危机对各地区飞机订单量、各类机型的市场份额、退役机队的趋势、飞机的市场价值，飞机的交付量，航班以及客运周转量恢复情况的影响。如果您有任何进一步的问题、意见或反馈，请联系：Jie Zhou 可从本链接下载幻灯片组

新闻与公共关系12Mar

Aircraft Engine Market Regaining Revs, But Lengthy Recovery Timefame Says IBA

The aircraft engine market is showing early signs of recovery from the worst effects of the Covid-19, but is not set to return to pre-pandemic levels until the mid-2020s, according to leading aviation data and advisory company IBA.

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Will The Embattled DHC8-400Q Fleet Survive Covid-19?

Finlay Grogan, an aviation analyst at IBA advisory, looks back at the historic performance of the DHC8-4000 fleet and how the programme has been challenged in more recent times. What does the future hold for this Canadian built aircraft?

新闻与公共关系26Feb

IBA最新研究表明，中国的货运飞机需求保持了强劲增长然而货机价值和租金扔受压力

（2021年3月4日）受新冠疫情的影响，中国对货机的需求继续强劲增长，但领先的航空行业咨询公司IBA通过数据分析发现，由于可供改装飞机供过于求，货机的价格和租金仍然受到压制。

网络研讨会25Feb 2021

IBA网络研讨会：关于2021年货机价值你需要了解的一切

为更清楚地了解货机的价值以及价值和租赁率变化背后的推手，我们邀请了IBA经验丰富、屡获殊荣的估值专家参加了我们新的网络研讨会系列。在三个会议环节中的第二个环节中，我们的ISTAT合格评估专家小组将重点讨论货机市场。届时小组将讨论下列问题和专题： IBA的资产价值和货机租赁费率是如何变动的？ IBA近期市场走势背后的推手是什么？不同方案的转换需求有多强？有哪些货机可以使用，价格的竞争力如何？ IBA对2021年可能发生的事情有何看法？可从本链接下载幻灯片组我们希望本次研讨会能对货机市场有一个很好的观察和洞察，并与您的业务相关。如果您有任何其它问题、意见或反馈，请联系：Jonathan McDonald

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China's Strong Domestic Air Travel Has Stalled Over The Lunar New Year

InsightIQ data revealed China has experienced a drop in domestic air travel in the fifteen-day period prior to the Lunar New Year compared to the same period in 2020. Following the resurgence of new Covid-19 cases in early January, new travel restrictions and subsequent lower demand for domestic travel have meant deep capacity cuts from local airlines.

售后及零部件

A group of Aeroflot aircraft at the gates of Moscow airport

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How long can Russian airlines maintain their aircraft?

IBA's experts examine how long Russian operators can keep aircraft flying with a limited supply of parts.

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Freighters buck the trend in latest widebody aircraft engine values

The latest trends in aircraft engines you need to know, powered by IBA Insight.

Image of an aeroplane wing and engine in the sky

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Is There a Bright Future for Green Time Engines?

An aircraft or engine approaching its operational twilight years tends to require closer condition monitoring and increased maintenance investment. For many years, one option lessors and operators have used to achieve a good return on their asset is to part out the aircraft or engine for feedstock or to sell them into the aftermarket. Engines with little green time remaining are typically the best option for teardown.

image of a graph and data on the screen with US dollars over the top

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How Has Covid-19 Affected Material Fair Market Values?

This month Adil Slimani, IBA's Head of Aftermarket Advisory shares his opinion on Covid and material Fair Market Values. 'Unprecedented' and 'Covid' have become synonymous with 2020 and the pandemic's tragic human cost has been the gravest many have experienced in generations. Numerous industries have also suffered and aviation has been one of the worst hit. Every step of the supply chain from financing, manufacturing, operation, maintenance and recycling has had to adapt to survive and, fundamentally, there are several market forces that have yet to play out. Here I'll try to share some insight into the causes and effects of a reduction in aircraft material fair market values (FMV). For many entities, common strategies to protect capital, be they mothballing fleets, leveraging assets or furloughing staff have largely been played out and restructuring is underway. Various support mechanisms adopted by stakeholders such as renegotiating lease rates, payment holidays and deferred aircraft deliveries or redeliveries have enabled operations to continue at minimal levels and undoubtedly been a lifeline.

Uncategorised

活动28Jan

Airline Economics: Growth Frontiers Global - Dublin

IBA's Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations & Consulting will be speaking on the 29th January at 16:00 on Aircraft leasing – Lease rates & Valuations. And Jennifer Stanley, Manager – ESG will be speaking at 10:20 on the 31st January on the ESG panel. Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist will be speaking at 10:15 on the 31st January on Trading, leasing and operator risk plus supply - and their effect on pricing, failures, supply & demand.

活动20Nov

ALI Global Aviation Sustainability Day

IBA will be attending ALI Global Aviation Sustainability Day at The Convention Centre Dublin, North Wall Quay, North Dock, Dublin 1, Ireland on the 20th November, If you wish to meet us there or would like more information, please email [email protected]

活动06Nov

Airline Economics: Growth Frontiers Asia Pacific - Singapore

IBA's Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations & Consulting will be speaking at 15:55 on the 7th November on the Manufacturer Aircraft supply and Lessor content Valuations, interest rates, lease rates, supply and demand, escalation fees Panel. Mike will also be speaking on day 2 of the event on valuations and lease rates drill down.

活动01Nov

Shannon International Leasing Conference

Dr Stuart Hatcher, Chief Economist and Richard Dorgan, regional sales manager, will be attending Shannon International Leasing Conference (SILC) 1-2nd November. Stuart is will be opening up the Lessor panel discussion. To meet the team, or for more information, please email [email protected]

活动22Oct

ALTA AGM & Airline Leaders Forum

IBA's Jack Ambrose will be attending this ALTA AGM and Airline Leaders Forum event on the 22-24th October in Cancun, Mexico. For more infomation or to book a meeting, please reach out to [email protected]

活动17Oct

Aviation Week: MRO Europe

IBA's Adil Slimani, Head of Aftermarket Advisory and Richard Dorgan, Regional Sales Manager will be attending this event. Adil will be moderating on Tuesday, October 17, 2023 12:30 PM - 1:15 PM for the topic of Supply chain headaches: Making the best of it. They will be discussing what will ongoing supply chain challenges mean for the market over the next few years? What are the OEMs proposing in terms of support and can there be a return to BAU? Material shortages and labor challenges Ð what are the methods to improve output and timeliness? Can we help suppliers further down the supply chain to improve delivery and production? How can we encourage a build-up of capability to respond to the lag, get things back on track and ultimately improve performance? Please contact [email protected] for more information.

活动10Oct

ERA General Assembly 2023

IBA's Sarah Fosberry, Head of Sales - EMEA and Adil Slimani, Senior Commercial Manager will be attending this event on the 10-12th October in Innsbruck, Austria. If you would like to meet them there, or for more information, email [email protected]

活动03Oct

World Sustainability Conference, Madrid

IBA's Jennifer Stanley, ESG Manager and Nick Stafford, Product Development and Digital Transformation Director, will be attending the World Sustainability Conference in Madrid on the 3rd and 4th of October. For further information please reach out to [email protected]

活动01Oct

ISTAT EMEA October 2023

The IBA team will be attending ISTAT EMEA in London in force, both sponsoring and speaking from the 1st - 3rd October. Please come and visit us at stand 10 in the Hilton London Metropole. IBA's Mike Yeomans, Director - Valuations & Consulting, will be sharing his latest insight on the Appraisers Panel at 15:25 on Monday 3rd. Throughout the event, we’re offering the opportunity to meet with our experts to discuss IBA’s latest market insights and hear about your upcoming plans and business objectives. If you would like to meet, please select a convenient time and date below. Meet IBA at our exhibition stand Meet IBA in our private meeting room Meet IBA in our meeting space

新闻与公共关系06Sep

IBA Appoints Gerry Gualtieri as CEO to Drive Growth and Innovation

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has appointed Gerry Gualtieri as CEO.

新闻与公共关系31Jul

Impact of Heathrow Fuel Supply Issues on Carbon Emissions

- IBA estimates 1800 tonnes of used/wasted CO2 per day - Phil Seymour, President, IBA. The news that Heathrow Airport has requested airlines to uplift as little fuel as possible at Heathrow means that there will undoubtedly be an increase in CO2 emissions. But what is the order of magnitude and how will airlines manage the situation? IBA estimates that 1800 tonnes of used/wasted CO2 per day is being emitted as a result of the fuel supply issue at Heathrow. With a 9-day problem that Heathrow describe this will result in 16,200 tonnes of used/wasted CO2 being emitted around the planet. Carrying more fuel than is required is known as fuel “tankering”. In the days before CO2 emissions were cared about, it was a practice often used by airlines when considering the price of fuel at their departure airport versus the price of fuel at the destination. There is a cost to carrying more weight/fuel than is required for a specific flight. The heavier an aircraft is the more thrust required to take-off and climb (hence more fuel is used), the more wear and tear on the engines and the heavier landing weight increases the brake wear. As a greater focus on CO2 emissions emerged, the practice of tankering became frowned upon as the increased fuel burn means increased emissions. The request by Heathrow that airlines should aim to limit the fuel they require to be uplifted there means that airlines flying into Heathrow have to take part in tankering. Practically speaking, aircraft flying in from far away destinations will use almost all of their fuel capacity so there will be little option. That is, a B777 inbound from Singapore to Heathrow won’t be able to carry enough fuel for the return trip. However, IBA estimates that around 60 inbound flights every day into Heathrow from regions such as US East Coast and the Middle East could leave their departure airport with enough fuel for the return trip. In a hypothetical example, take a New York JFK to Heathrow return flight of a B777-300ER. A 777-300ER is chosen as it is capable of carrying very high fuel loads, in this example, enough for a return transatlantic flight. Departing from JFK the airline would determine the “trip fuel” being the estimated fuel burn based on the sector characteristic and aircraft weight plus various contingency for diversion/weather issues. For this example, it’s taken as a round-figure fuel load of 60 tonnes, although the fuel burn may be considerably less. Given the request that the airline should bring in as much fuel as possible, the airline will need to depart with a much higher fuel load, in this case, it is assumed an additional 50 tonnes. Hence the aircraft will depart JFK with 110 tonnes of fuel on board. The extra 50 tonnes will also require additional fuel to be used in order to carry the excess weight. Typically, the factor of this will be based on the following for that sector: for every additional 1 tonne of fuel over and above the original planned fuel the additional fuel burn will be 0.2 per tonne. Therefore, in this example, the additional 50 tonnes will burn 10 tonnes of fuel. In CO2 terms this is over 30 tonnes of additional CO2 that will be “used/wasted” to carry that additional fuel. If we assume 60 similar flights per day out of Heathrow this results in 1800 tonnes of used/wasted CO2 per day, or 16,200 tonnes of used/wasted CO2 over the forecasted 9-day issue, being emitted around the planet. Discover IBA NetZero, the definitive commercial aviation carbon calculator. Book a demo today -ENDS- IBA media contacts Charlie Hampton / Faye ClarkeEmail: [email protected] / [email protected]: +44 (0)7884 187297

新闻与公共关系12Jun

IBA's Predictions for Paris Air Show 2023

Over the past few weeks, we have been focusing heavily on supply chain, order rumours, regional growth, ESG, rising costs, failures pointing the blame at reliability and strengthening airline results; probably the key factors that have so far defined the mood of 2023. That mood has a chance to thoroughly express itself in one week’s time as we head to Paris Air Show after a four-year break. So, IBA has been focusing on considering all the rumours and other key factors, and combining them with our own analysis to develop our customary pre-show predictions. Of course, as we all know, deals aren’t struck at air shows. However, they are the public face of where airlines and lessors can play their hand in securing future market share, the primary PR events for OEMs across all aviation sectors, and serve equally well as the industry barometer to close off the first half of the year.

新闻与公共关系30May

IBA Outlines eVTOL Market Value Model

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, examined the eVTOL market in its latest webinar, presenting a valuation model and depreciation trends over a projected 10-20 year lifespan.

新闻与公共关系17May

Global Airline Passenger Capacity to Surpass 2019 Levels in July, IBA Predicts

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer shows that monthly global airline passenger capacity as measured in available seat kilometres (ASKs) is steadily reaching pre-pandemic levels, with 95% recorded in April 2023.

新闻与公共关系11May

IBA Analysis: Ryanair 300 Aircraft Order Marks Growth In Strategy And Fleet

This week an agreement was made with Boeing for up to 300 737 MAX 10 aircraft. IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, notes that while only 150 will be firm orders, with the remaining being options, a narrowbody order of this scale is more typical of recent orders placed by carriers in Asia or the US. This order also dwarfs the 196 A321 aircraft order of Wizz Air in November 2021.

新闻与公共关系25Apr

Asia-Pacific’s Airline Capacity Recovery Accelerates by 20% in Q1 2023

IBA’s Aviation Industry Barometer for March 2023 found that Asia-Pacific airline capacity reached 83% of 2019 ASKs in March 2023 – a jump of 20% in the first quarter of this year.

新闻与公共关系15Mar

Flights Increase by a Quarter Since 2022, with Capacity Now Over 90% of Pre-Pandemic Levels

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has today published its monthly Aviation Industry Barometer for February 2023. Data from IBA’s Insight intelligence platform shows a 24% year-on-year increase in passenger flights from February 2022, with 2.3 million commercial passenger flights recorded in February 2023.

新闻与公共关系10Mar

IBA Expands Global Sales Team with New Sales Manager for Middle East & Africa

IBA, the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company, has expanded its global sales team with the appointment of Robbie Deegan to the newly created position of Sales Manager, Middle East and Africa.

新闻与公共关系24Feb

IBA Comments: IAG Full Year Results

Geoff van Klaveren, Managing Director – Advisory at IBA comments:

新闻与公共关系10Feb

Narrowbody Aircraft Values Recover In 2022 and Set For 2023 Climb

New narrowbody aircraft base values rose beyond the long-term trend into 2023, and lease rates are forecast to climb further this year, according to data revealed today by IBA the leading aviation market intelligence and consultancy company.

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