As you will be aware, the withdrawal of passenger capacity from the market has driven extraordinary demand for dedicated freighters. Some passenger aircraft have been temporarily converted and freight movements have strengthened. Using flight data from IBA's Intelligence platform InsightIQ, we can illustrate the utilisation of the 777 Boeing Family.
This clearly demonstrates the stark divergence between 777 passenger and freighter fleets despite the temporary conversions for preighter activity.
Prior to the pandemic and throughout this year, the 777F shows strong levels of utilisation across domestic and international routes. In contrast, the picture for the 777-300ER has been more challenging as continuing passenger travel restrictions impact international travel, on top of some pre-Covid softening of values, fewer trades and rising part out demand. Analysis from InsightIQ has identified 125 777-300ER aircraft for possible fleet exits in the near term.
However on the positive side, if the 777X programme is delayed then some airlines could operate their 777-300ER fleet for longer than originally planned. Returning aircraft could fill short-term demand gaps as airlines avoid buying new widebodies until current conditions settle, plus provide engine feedstock to maintain the operational aircraft for longer periods and avoid expensive engine maintenance. In addition, the Boeing conversion programme for the 777-300ER launched just over a year ago and there will be a good supply of feedstock. The cost for this conversion is expected to be in the region of US$30 million excluding maintenance.
If you have any further questions please get in touch: Mike Yeomans
IBA's InsightIQ analysis platform flexibly illustrates multiple asset, fleet and market positions, actual and potential, to inform client choices and identify acquisition opportunities. Immediate access to crucial aircraft, engine, lease rate and fleet data eases appreciation of historic and future aircraft concentrations and operator profiles.
The global aviation marketplace will continue to encounter stress and multiple challenges in 2020 and beyond. Join IBA, the 2020 Appraiser of the Year, for a Market Update as we uncover, discuss and predict market trends across the industry and aviation finance. This webinar is a must for the aviation community looking for comprehensive, accurate and up to date market insight. Topics covered include:• The changing face of Airline fleets• Possible Airline Failures• How are fleets being deployed• Will the MAX make a strong recovery?• OEM update• What are the changing trends in retirements• Transitional activity - trading sales and capital activity• What to expect in IBA's next major value update The slide deck is available to download here. If you have further questions please contact: Phil Seymour
There is a growing realisation that the Airbus A380 programme may have been short lived: with first deliveries of the aircraft type in October 2007, the industry was surprised to note the first A380 retirement in August 2017 - not one full decade later and well short of the expected 20 to 30 year life span of a commercial aircraft. Did the initial retirement, the subsequent retirement of three more examples, and the impact of Covid-19 sound the death knell for the A380 programme?