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Global Airline Passenger Capacity to Surpass 2019 Levels in October, IBA Predicts

IBA’s latest Aviation Industry Barometer predicts that global passenger ASKs (available seat kilometres) will surpass 2019 levels by October 2023, having reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023.

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IBA Insight, IBA’s aviation intelligence platform, shows that in June:


  • Although monthly global passenger capacity reached 95% of pre-pandemic ASKs in June 2023, this is a fall of -1% compared to May 2023.

  • In June, operators from Africa, North and Latin America surpassed pre-pandemic capacity, while operators in APAC, Europe and the Middle East lag slightly behind, albeit recovering steadily.

  • Passenger ASKs from Chinese operators are trending at 89% of 2019 levels, a steady increase from 82% at the end of Q1 2023.

  • In June 2023, 2.82 million commercial passenger flights were recorded compared to 2.81 million in May 2023, and 2.41 million flights in June 2022.

  • 388k commercial passenger flights were recorded by Chinese operators, compared to 397k in May 2023 and 207k in June 2022.

  • For deliveries, there were 141 commercial aircraft delivered in June 2023, representing a month-on-month and year-on-year variance of +15% and +23% respectively.

  • June saw the highest number of new generation narrowbody deliveries this year, with 102 aircraft shared between the neo and MAX.

  • During the first half of 2023, Airbus A320neo deliveries averaged at 45 per month, compared to 35 per month for the Boeing 737 MAX.




About IBA

IBA delivers the best of all worlds - deep aviation consultancy expertise, and cutting-edge and actionable data insights, all delivered by a proven, expert team with a strong customer focus.


An independent, innovative and forward-thinking business, IBA has over 35 years of heritage and experience in aviation. Having won the Sustainable Technology award for its IBA NetZero platform in 2023 and for its Carbon Emissions Calculator in 2022, and being named 'Appraiser of the Year' by their clients for five years, IBA prides itself on its integrity, fierce independence, and continual innovation.


The key to IBA’s success is its people – some of the best in the industry, based in multiple locations across the globe – real experts who are passionate about aviation and go the extra mile for their clients.


IBA media contacts


Charlie Hampton / Faye Clarke

Email: [email protected] / [email protected]

Mobile: +44 (0)7884 187297


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