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IBA’s Predictions For The 2018 Farnborough Airshow

With less than a week until the 2018 Farnborough Airshow touches down in Hampshire, all eyes will be on the famous weeklong event to see just how the aviation industry will be affected. That, of course, doesn’t mean that predictions can’t be made beforehand. More people than ever are expected to pass through the gates throughout the week, meaning more potential investors, which is good news for the expected 1500 exhibitors set to present at the event.

Using both historical data and predictions on likely orders during the aviation industry’s premier showcase, IBA has been able to put together its predictions for the upcoming event.

In brief, IBA forecasts:

  • An order tally (firm and MoU) that tops 900
  • Strong orders for the neo and MAX families – with a bias towards the A320/A321 and -8/-10 variants
  • Improving orders across both the Q400/ATR families and some sales for the E1 and E2s, but it may be too early to reap the benefit of the Boeing announcement
  • A little movement on the Bombardier CSeries programme for both variants but this may not lead to firm/MoU level commitment
  • 100 orders across the 777, 787, A330 and A350 families would be a good result
  • The Boeing NMA (New Midsized Airplane) and the CSeries stakeholder changes should spark up some interest but IBA considers it may still be too early for the NMA launch;
  • In terms of buyers, lessors will take around 40%.