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09/06/2021

Key Aircraft Values Trends to Expect in July 2021

In anticipation of IBA’s forthcoming July Mid-Year Aircraft Values Update Webinar, we have been looking ahead at some key trends to expect in aircraft valuations. Though many will not see base value adjustments for many aircraft asset types, we are forecasting further market value softening in 2021 for some.

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New aircraft values will increase

Our forecasts show the values of new aircraft will increase slightly. Solid demand has resulted in lease rate factors reducing almost to 2019 levels.

 

  • Airbus A321 aircraft values are among the strongest performers, particularly in sale and leaseback transactions with top tier credits.

  • Airbus A350 values and Boeing 737 Max values are likely to remain steady, although some adjustment may result from secondary market availability.

  • Boeing 787-800 values are expected to soften due to fewer deliveries, and the slightly older age profile of the fleet

 

 

Market Value Performance - New Aircraft Models

Source: IBA’s InsightIQ Aircraft Values Data

Values of older aircraft values will decrease

IBA believes that many widebody aircraft aged over 10 years old aircraft (and other airframes of that age) will see softening market values.

 

  • The Delay of the Boeing 777X program until at least 2024-25 will keep the Boeing 777-300ER within fleets for an extended period.

  • The Airbus A330’s freight conversion P2F potential makes it the natural successor to the Boeing 767, but oversupply of the A330 in the market may take time to clear.

  • The Boeing 737-800 is at a premium over the Airbus A320. This has been boosted by the 737’s strong freighter potential, as well as delays to the 737 Max program.

 

Details of IBA’s Mid-Year Aircraft Values Update Webinar in July will be released in the coming weeks. Please subscribe to our mailing list to register your interest, and follow us on LinkedIn and Twitter for further updates on webinars. To find out more information about InsightIQ Aircraft and Engine Values, request more information using the button below.

 

If you have any further questions please contact Mike Yeomans.

 

IBA's InsightIQ analysis platform flexibly illustrates multiple asset, fleet and market positions, actual and potential, to inform client choices and identify acquisition opportunities.
Immediate access to crucial aircraft, engine, lease rate and fleet data eases appreciation of historic and future concentrations and operator profiles.

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